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River and stream water quality and ecology - Greater Wellington ...

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<strong>River</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>stream</strong> <strong>water</strong> <strong>quality</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>ecology</strong> in the <strong>Wellington</strong> region: State <strong>and</strong> trends<br />

4.2.2 Results<br />

An overview of the temporal trend analysis outputs, for both raw <strong>and</strong> flowadjusted<br />

data sets that contained 30% or less censored values, is presented in<br />

Table 4.7. Full details of all other trend analysis results can be found in<br />

Appendix 7.<br />

The majority of RSoE sites were typically stable across the five-year period,<br />

based on both raw <strong>and</strong> flow-adjusted data for the 14 variables assessed.<br />

However, pH was an exception, with around half of the sites exhibiting<br />

decreasing trends over the reporting period. The reason for the declining pH<br />

trends is unclear but it should be noted that there were some changes in<br />

sampling personnel (<strong>and</strong> field meters) during the early part of the reporting<br />

period. 18 Further, along with <strong>water</strong> temperature <strong>and</strong> DO which also exhibit<br />

significant diurnal variation, changes in site sampling time during the reporting<br />

period confound interpretation of the trend results. The focus of the following<br />

sections is therefore placed on describing the meaningful trends (ie, statistically<br />

significant <strong>and</strong> with a rate of change >1% per annum) observed in <strong>water</strong><br />

clarity, turbidity, nutrient concentrations, TOC concentrations, <strong>and</strong> E. coli<br />

bacteria counts. A total of 78 meaningful trends were identified in the raw data<br />

sets across these nine variables (equating to 14.1% out of a total of 411<br />

possible trends), with half of these trends associated with just three variables:<br />

TP (15 sites), NNN (13 sites) <strong>and</strong> TN (11 sites).<br />

(a) Visual clarity (black disc) <strong>and</strong> turbidity<br />

Eight RSoE sites exhibited meaningful declining trends in raw black disc<br />

(visual clarity) values, three of which also exhibited these trends in flowadjusted<br />

data (Table 4.8). Rates of decline ranged from 0.06 m/year (Ngarara<br />

Stream at Field Way) to 0.31 m/year (Beef Creek at Head<strong>water</strong>s). These eight<br />

sites comprised a mixture of hard <strong>and</strong> soft-bottomed sites <strong>and</strong> all have lowelevation<br />

sources of flow. Two of these sites are classed as reference sites<br />

(Wainuiomata <strong>River</strong> at Manuka Track <strong>and</strong> Beef Creek at Head<strong>water</strong>s), while<br />

the remaining six sites are located in catchments dominated by pastoral (five<br />

sites) or urban l<strong>and</strong>cover (one site).<br />

Only two RSoE sites (Taueru <strong>River</strong> at Castlehill <strong>and</strong> Whangaehu <strong>River</strong> 250 m<br />

from confluence) that recorded deteriorating trends in visual clarity recorded<br />

corresponding deteriorating (ie, increasing) trends in turbidity (raw data)<br />

(Table 4.9). Five sites recorded meaningful decreasing trends in turbidity<br />

which were typically only evident in flow-adjusted data (Table 4.9).<br />

18 From July 2005 up until January 2007, monthly <strong>water</strong> sampling was undertaken by external contractors. Issues were identified with the<br />

<strong>quality</strong> of some field measurements reported during this time.<br />

WGN_DOCS-#1100598-V3 PAGE 45 OF 160

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