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Queensland Life Sciences Industry Report 2012 (PDF, 3.5MB)

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By David Blake, Editor of BioShares<br />

INDUSTRY COMMENTARY<br />

THE LISTED LIFE SCIENCES SECTOR IN AUSTRALIA<br />

— NOT ONE SIZE FITS ALL<br />

A neat one size fits all description of the<br />

state of Australia’s listed life sciences<br />

sector has become an impossibility<br />

since the GFC in 2008 began a process of<br />

constant damage to some companies but<br />

left others merely bruised and even some<br />

others unscathed. A high Australian dollar<br />

has not helped sales focused life science<br />

firms and healthcare system budgets<br />

and some export markets have weakened<br />

company earnings of late.<br />

What is known is that the number of listed<br />

life science companies has declined from<br />

a peak of 134 in 2008 to 100 in <strong>2012</strong>, with<br />

a contraction more likely to continue for<br />

as long as global economic conditions<br />

remain poor.<br />

The hundred or so life science companies<br />

listed on the ASX are a diverse group of<br />

companies in terms of market value,<br />

scale of operations, scope of business and<br />

market focus. There are 29 companies<br />

capitalised at less than $10 million, 49 are<br />

capitalised at less than $20 million and 18<br />

capitalised at less than $100 million. There<br />

are five companies capitalised at greater<br />

than $1 billion.<br />

The activities of ASX listed life science<br />

firms range from medical device<br />

manufacture and sales, vaccines and<br />

immune therapy product manufacture, cell<br />

therapy and wound healing development,<br />

assessment and diagnostic technologies<br />

including molecular, bio-sensor and<br />

algorithmic approaches, biological storage<br />

technologies, sleep apnoea management<br />

products and many more.<br />

Roughly 7-8% of ASX-listed life science<br />

companies are foreign firms lacking direct<br />

links to Australia. Biotech identity is a<br />

tricky classification issue given that quite<br />

a number of listed companies are US<br />

entities, which own operating subsidiaries<br />

in Australia.<br />

Investment in biotech stocks has been a<br />

stock picking activity for quite some time,<br />

a strategy which is a function of the time it<br />

takes for medical technology businesses to<br />

arrive at valuation inflection points,<br />

leaving many companies without vital<br />

news flow to attract investor interest.<br />

The Bioshares Index for example was down<br />

23.5% between June <strong>2012</strong> and June 2011.<br />

However, 22 stocks posted share price<br />

gains of greater than 20% for the same<br />

period. That’s not such bad going in<br />

dismal times.<br />

Ongoing key issues for investors in<br />

life science stocks include execution<br />

risk, otherwise known as financing<br />

risk, reflecting a company’s capacity to<br />

support the business objectives it has<br />

set itself. Investment flows have been<br />

biased towards later stage companies in<br />

the past few years, with companies such<br />

as Mesoblast, Alchemia, QRxPharma,<br />

Starpharma, Prima Biomed and<br />

Phosphagenics raising sizable tranches of<br />

capital to support pivotal clinical studies.<br />

New listings (the IPO market) have all but<br />

dried up with only one, Osprey Medical<br />

completed in <strong>2012</strong>, following three in 2011,<br />

and two in 2010.<br />

One risk that has recently been elevated<br />

in importance is regulatory risk. Several<br />

submissions to drug regulators from<br />

Australian firms, e.g. Pharmaxis, Mayne<br />

Pharma and QRxPharma, have been<br />

knocked back at the first round leaving<br />

both investors and the companies<br />

concerned in a state of shock. These<br />

first-cycle requests for more data can be<br />

expected to have a negative impact on<br />

investment in the sector<br />

The highlight for Australian life science<br />

investors in the last two years was the<br />

payment of a $100 million dividend by<br />

Acrux in April 2011, following the receipt<br />

of license-based payments from Eli Lilly<br />

for the testosterone drug Axiron. Rather<br />

than retaining the cash for another stage<br />

of business development, by paying<br />

shareholders a dividend, the board of<br />

Acrux elected to send a clear signal that<br />

investment decisions are ultimately the<br />

prerogative of shareholders.<br />

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