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Annual report - About TELUS

Annual report - About TELUS

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management discussion and analysis<br />

Technological Change<br />

Changing technology in data, IP and wireless may adversely<br />

affect revenues, costs and value of assets<br />

The pace and the scope of technological advancements<br />

in the communications industry are expected to continue<br />

to accelerate in the foreseeable future. Two of the universal<br />

characteristics of technological advancements are<br />

lower unit costs and increasing flexibility. This creates<br />

opportunities for new and existing competitors to offer<br />

price reductions and service differentiation to gain market<br />

share. <strong>TELUS</strong>’ future success will be dependent upon its<br />

ability to anticipate, invest in and implement new technologies<br />

with the levels of service and prices that its customers<br />

require. <strong>TELUS</strong> may be required to make more<br />

capital expenditures than are currently expected if a technology’s<br />

performance falls short of expectations and<br />

<strong>TELUS</strong>’ earnings may also be affected if technological<br />

advances shorten the useful life of some of its assets.<br />

The digital protocols utilized by <strong>TELUS</strong> may become<br />

technologically inferior which could adversely affect <strong>TELUS</strong><br />

The wireless industry is in the process of adopting second<br />

(2.5G) and third generation (3G) technologies that are<br />

expected to deliver increased data speeds required to<br />

deliver many new wireless IP and data services. Various<br />

operators are announcing capital cost plans to permit<br />

existing wireless protocols to migrate to 2.5G in 2001<br />

and 3G subsequently over the next two to three years.<br />

While we believe <strong>TELUS</strong> Mobility’s CDMA protocol has a<br />

reasonable and cost effective migration path to 2.5G and<br />

3G, there can be no assurance that it will be successful<br />

and timely. <strong>TELUS</strong> will continue to assess this issue during<br />

the year. In addition, the <strong>TELUS</strong> Mike service uses an<br />

iDEN technology protocol which already has packet capability<br />

and service offerings in contrast to competitive protocols;<br />

however, it has not yet been fully determined how<br />

it will migrate to 3G.<br />

> 58<br />

Regulatory<br />

Regulatory developments could have an adverse impact on<br />

<strong>TELUS</strong>’ operating procedures, costs and revenues<br />

<strong>TELUS</strong>’ telecommunications services are regulated<br />

under federal legislation through the CRTC. The CRTC<br />

has taken steps to forbear from regulating prices for<br />

certain services such as long distance and some data<br />

services and does not regulate the pricing of wireless<br />

services. Major areas of regulatory review currently<br />

include the contribution payment regime, price cap<br />

regulation of local telephone rates and access issues<br />

with cities and building owners.<br />

The outcome of the regulatory proceedings and court<br />

appeals discussed below and other regulatory developments<br />

could have an impact on <strong>TELUS</strong>’ operating procedures,<br />

costs and revenues. There can be no assurance<br />

that these regulatory outcomes will not be materially<br />

adverse to <strong>TELUS</strong>.<br />

Contribution payment calculation modified by CRTC<br />

The CRTC requires <strong>TELUS</strong> and other regional telephone<br />

companies to provide basic residential services at belowcost<br />

rates in high cost serving areas (e.g., rural areas).<br />

In a recent decision, effective January 1, 2001, the CRTC<br />

expanded the application of contribution charges that<br />

provided for a partial subsidy to high cost serving areas<br />

beyond long distance services. The new contribution<br />

charges are being assessed as a percentage of eligible<br />

revenues on wireline and wireless local and long distance,<br />

voice and data services. For the first time, the<br />

CRTC decision requires subsidy payments of 4.5% of<br />

eligible revenues in 2001 replacing a per-minute mechanism<br />

that only collected contribution on the long distance<br />

market segment. This is an interim rate for 2001<br />

and the only exceptions are retail ISP and paging revenues.<br />

For the wireless operators, contribution payments<br />

are to increase substantially in 2001 with payments in<br />

2002 and beyond still to be decided upon.<br />

The CRTC also determined that contribution charges<br />

will now be pooled nationally rather than regionally and<br />

that an adjustment is to be made to account for 2001<br />

contribution charges that will apply to price capped services.<br />

As a result, <strong>TELUS</strong> will retain revenues in 2001 that<br />

otherwise would have been reduced under price cap regulation.<br />

This decision is under appeal to the CRTC by Bell<br />

Canada and, if overturned or modified, the result could be<br />

adverse to <strong>TELUS</strong> revenues and earnings in 2001.

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