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Understanding Consumer Reactions to Assortment Unavailability

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that a model in which the effect of the delisting is captured by a single dummy variable is<br />

therefore not valid. In Figure 4.3, we depict the same values <strong>to</strong>gether with the interpolated values<br />

with a 95% confidence interval <strong>to</strong> indicate the uncertainty in these estimates. The function value<br />

of the spline at any point in time is a linear combination of the parameters. The confidence<br />

intervals therefore can be obtained easily from the covariance matrix of the parameter estimates.<br />

Figure 4.2: Total weekly category sales per s<strong>to</strong>re<br />

10000<br />

7500<br />

5000<br />

2500<br />

10000<br />

7500<br />

5000<br />

2500<br />

Test s<strong>to</strong>re 1<br />

Test s<strong>to</strong>re 2<br />

2003<br />

2003<br />

10000<br />

7500<br />

5000<br />

2500<br />

106<br />

Control s<strong>to</strong>re 1<br />

10000 Control s<strong>to</strong>re 2<br />

7500<br />

5000<br />

2500<br />

Notes: Vertical lines indicate start of the delisting in the test s<strong>to</strong>res.<br />

2003<br />

2003

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