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Understanding Consumer Reactions to Assortment Unavailability

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Manufacturers in hedonic product groups with a brand that possesses a high equity level (e.g.,<br />

Coca-Cola, Douwe Egberts coffee) can be more confident in their negotiations than can<br />

manufacturers with low-equity brands in utilitarian categories (e.g., Remia margarine, Witte<br />

Reus detergent). Retailers should be selective in which cases they will or will not use the threat<br />

of a brand boycott in the negotiation process. Choosing the wrong brand <strong>to</strong> boycott could<br />

severely damage category sales and s<strong>to</strong>re loyalty.<br />

5.1.3 Summary of Chapter 4<br />

Similar <strong>to</strong> that in Chapter 3, the essay in Chapter 4 focuses on the impact of a permanent<br />

assortment reduction. However, whereas we researched the impact of a single brand delisting<br />

previously, with this essay, we research the effect of a multi-item reduction within a product<br />

category assortment. In close cooperation with a major Dutch retailer, we researched the short-<br />

and long-term effects of a cut of 37 out of a <strong>to</strong>tal of 150 detergent items (25%). This assortment<br />

cut was tested in two s<strong>to</strong>res, and two control s<strong>to</strong>res were used <strong>to</strong> estimate its category sales<br />

effects. The retailer provided us with 52 weeks (26 weeks before the reduction and 26 weeks<br />

after) of cus<strong>to</strong>mer loyalty card data for over 25,000 households across the two test and two<br />

control s<strong>to</strong>res.<br />

The main results indicate that the assortment cut caused a loss of category sales, mainly<br />

among the group of former buyers of the delisted items. Furthermore, we find that short-term<br />

sales losses are significantly higher than long-term sales losses. This effect can be explained<br />

partially by the higher percentage of new category buyers in the test s<strong>to</strong>res; that is, we found a<br />

higher influx of new buyers in the detergent category in the test s<strong>to</strong>res than in the control s<strong>to</strong>res.<br />

A possible explanation for this effect is that the reduced assortment provides greater benefits for<br />

certain groups of cus<strong>to</strong>mers than does the nonreduced assortment. Indeed, an additional before-<br />

and-after survey of detergent buyers in the two test s<strong>to</strong>res indicated that the reduced assortment<br />

received a higher overall evaluation and scored better in terms of search efficiency than did the<br />

old detergent assortment with all 150 items.<br />

An important limitation of this study is that we have data in only one category. However,<br />

if these results were <strong>to</strong> be replicated in controlled and/or natural experiments that included more<br />

product categories, they would have very important implications for retailers’ decision making<br />

about assortment reductions. First, the study shows that an initial negative impact on category<br />

sales might diminish over time. Second, it shows that a reduced, “cleaned-up” assortment may be<br />

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