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Understanding Consumer Reactions to Assortment Unavailability

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4.7 Discussion<br />

In this collaborative research project, we investigate the short- and long-term sales effects of an<br />

assortment reduction. Although this study only pertains <strong>to</strong> a single category, it clearly contributes<br />

<strong>to</strong> the literature on assortment reductions, in that we (1) investigate the short- and long-term sales<br />

effects of this reduction, (2) decompose the short- and long-term sales effects between former<br />

buyers and nonbuyers of the delisted items, and (3) consider the entrance of new buyers as an<br />

explanation for the finding of neutral or positive sales effects in prior studies. We additionally<br />

execute a more qualitative study, which shows that increases in search efficiency might explain<br />

increased sales from new buyers.<br />

The main conclusions of our study are as follows: First, on an aggregate level, we find a<br />

short-term negative sales effect and no strong significant long-term negative sales effect. Thus,<br />

reducing an assortment by delisting mainly low-selling items and brands has a negative sales<br />

effect in the short-run. Second, extending the findings of Boatwright and Nunes (2001), we find<br />

that strong short-term negative sales effects occur mainly among former buyers of delisted items,<br />

probably due <strong>to</strong> their initial postponement and s<strong>to</strong>re switching. In the long term, the negative<br />

sales effect dissipates very slowly. Within the timeframe of our database, the results indicate<br />

some evidence (though not strong) of a long-term negative sales effect among former buyers of<br />

delisted items. Third, our study reveals that the assortment reduction may induce non–category<br />

buyers <strong>to</strong> start buying within the category. We assume that the improved search efficiency, as<br />

shown in the additional study and reflected in increases in perceived search efficiency and<br />

decreased search time, induces non–category buyers <strong>to</strong> start purchasing detergents in this s<strong>to</strong>re.<br />

This finding provides an important empirical confirmation, in a natural experiment, of the<br />

findings by several experimental studies in consumer research and psychology that an overly<br />

large assortment may keep retail cus<strong>to</strong>mers from buying products because of the high search<br />

complexity (Botti and Iyengar 2004; Gourville and Soman 2005). Of course, we provide only a<br />

single study in one category; more research clearly is required <strong>to</strong> generalize our finding. Finally,<br />

another methodological contribution of this research is that, <strong>to</strong> our knowledge, it represents the<br />

first application of a cubic spline methodology in marketing. It is a very useful model for<br />

researchers attempting <strong>to</strong> study the effect of a single event, such as an assortment reduction, on<br />

sales over time, for example.<br />

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