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Annual Report 2003 - Hannover Re

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Management report<br />

outlook<br />

Financial reinsurance<br />

We regard financial reinsurance as a growth<br />

segment within the <strong>Hannover</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group and expect<br />

both premium income and profitability to<br />

record average increases of between 10 and 15%<br />

in the years to come. Growth in 2004 is likely to<br />

be somewhat smaller owing to the significant<br />

increase generated in the year under review.<br />

At the beginning of this year <strong>Hannover</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Ireland and E+S <strong>Re</strong> Ireland relinquished their<br />

preferential tax treatment in Ireland. Instead of<br />

the previous rate of 10.0%, the companies will<br />

be subject to the normal tax rate of 12.5%. As a<br />

consequence of this change the premium tax of<br />

1% currently due for American business will no<br />

longer be payable. This move will enhance our<br />

competitiveness on the US market.<br />

performance. This is especially true of exchangelisted<br />

enterprises. Demand for the tailored solutions<br />

offered by financial reinsurance will therefore<br />

increase. Based on our vast experience, strong<br />

market position and the limited number of competing<br />

players, we look forward to a favourable<br />

development in this climate.<br />

As in the past, the bulk of our clientele will<br />

be concentrated in the highly developed markets,<br />

especially the United States. Still, we also<br />

intend to systematically cultivate the emerging<br />

markets of Asia and Latin America and expand<br />

our portfolio in these regions. Our planned marketing<br />

activities will also pay closer attention to<br />

the countries of Eastern Europe.<br />

Companies will come under increasing<br />

pressure to produce a consistently favourable<br />

Program business<br />

The rate increases in program business will<br />

probably be less marked in 2004 than in the<br />

year under review owing to the emerging competitive<br />

pressure on the market. Nevertheless,<br />

the highly price-conscious reinsurance market<br />

coupled with the low current returns on capital<br />

markets will keep up the pressure on insurers<br />

needed to maintain rates and conditions at their<br />

present high level.<br />

In Europe and South Africa we shall steadily<br />

extend our market position in program business<br />

through our subsidiaries Inter <strong>Hannover</strong> and<br />

Compass.<br />

The overall result generated by our program<br />

business is expected to improve in 2004.<br />

Overall result expected<br />

to develop favourably<br />

Overall business outlook<br />

Our largest business group, property and<br />

casualty reinsurance, continues to enjoy a highly<br />

attractive market environment in 2004. This assessment<br />

is equally true of broad sections of the<br />

primary market. During the January 2004 renewals<br />

it was very evident – even in those segments<br />

where sufficient market capacity was already<br />

available – that underwriting discipline<br />

did not break down and the advantageous rates<br />

and conditions for reinsurers were sustained.<br />

With this in mind, a downward slide into a soft<br />

market is unlikely to set in next year, even if the<br />

capital market continues its resurgence over the<br />

course of the year.<br />

68

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