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Annual Report 2010 - Hannover Re

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Utilisation of the trigger system in %<br />

190<br />

170<br />

150<br />

130<br />

110<br />

90<br />

70<br />

50<br />

Q1 <strong>2010</strong> Q2 <strong>2010</strong> Q3 <strong>2010</strong> Q4 <strong>2010</strong><br />

Utilisation by <strong>Hannover</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Warning level 1 Warning level 2 Warning level 3<br />

The model takes into account the following market risk factors:<br />

• interest rate risk,<br />

• credit spread risk,<br />

• systematic equity risk,<br />

• specific equity risk,<br />

• commodity risk,<br />

• option-specific risk.<br />

As part of ongoing refinements, we optimised our VaR calculation<br />

halfway through the reporting period, thereby enabling<br />

us to make more precise allowance for certain scenarios from<br />

market price risks associated with credit spreads. The values<br />

for the period prior to this recalibration were adjusted accordingly<br />

in the graph. In general terms, the market price risks<br />

continued to decrease in the year under review as a consequence<br />

of reduced volatility, and despite the move back into<br />

equities the Value at Risk in relation to the portfolio of investments<br />

under own management decreased year-on-year to<br />

around 0.7% as at the balance sheet date.<br />

Stress tests are conducted in order to be able to map extreme<br />

scenarios as well as normal market scenarios for the purpose<br />

of calculating the Value at Risk. In this context, the loss potentials<br />

for fair values and shareholders’ equity (before tax) are<br />

simulated on the basis of already occurred or notional extreme<br />

Value at Risk 1 for the investment portfolio of the <strong>Hannover</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group in %<br />

1.10<br />

1.00<br />

0.90<br />

0.80<br />

0.70<br />

Q1 <strong>2010</strong> Q2 <strong>2010</strong> Q3 <strong>2010</strong> Q4 <strong>2010</strong><br />

1 VaR upper limit according to <strong>Hannover</strong> <strong>Re</strong>‘s investment guidelines: 1.5%<br />

64 Management report opportunity and risk report<br />

<strong>Hannover</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group annual report <strong>2010</strong>

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