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Part III: Flare Reduction Project Family - IPIECA

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Section 7. <strong>Flare</strong> <strong>Reduction</strong> <strong>Project</strong> <strong>Family</strong><br />

markets. However, there is no natural gas infrastructure in the project region, with the result<br />

that the gas has little value, and these expenses are not justified. Thus, this Candidate cannot<br />

be assumed to be the baseline scenario.<br />

In the above analysis, Candidate 1, which represents the continuation of current activities, could<br />

be considered the most probable baseline scenario. 20 However, depending on local pricing<br />

factors and the scale and remaining lifetime of oil production at the field in question, it is<br />

possible that Candidate 3, which represents the project activity, could also be a viable baseline<br />

scenario and could even be more economically attractive in the long run than continued flaring.<br />

While this type of project would almost certainly result in an overall reduction in facility<br />

emissions of GHGs (replacement of a higher carbon intensity fuel with a lower intensity one for<br />

on-site consumption), it might well be undertaken based simply on improving operational<br />

economics, rather than to obtain emission reduction credits.<br />

Most of the following discussion pertains to a scenario in which continued flaring can be<br />

demonstrated to be the most likely baseline scenario, i.e., where the circumstances of the<br />

project’s implementation would cause it to be substantially more costly than a continuation of<br />

associated gas flaring and where acquisition of emission credits may be at least a partial<br />

motivation for the flare reduction project. Figure 7-7 provides a schematic illustration of this<br />

baseline scenario.<br />

Internal<br />

Combustion<br />

engine for<br />

Power<br />

Generation<br />

(burning<br />

crude oil)<br />

meter<br />

<strong>Flare</strong><br />

Associated<br />

gas<br />

Crude oil<br />

to sales<br />

Crude oil<br />

Oil/Water<br />

Separator<br />

Produced<br />

oil/water<br />

Oil/Gas<br />

Separator<br />

Associated<br />

gas<br />

Gas dehydration/<br />

compression<br />

Oil field with<br />

associated gas<br />

Figure 7-7. Baseline Illustration for Case Study #3<br />

20 Baseline candidates and the analysis presented here are for illustrative purposes only. Actual project activities<br />

will require an assessment of the candidates and characteristics specific to the project application. Specific climate<br />

change regimes may require additional details and justification for baseline scenario determination.<br />

October 2009 45

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