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Economic Background<br />

Consolid<strong>at</strong>ed Management Report / Market Review<br />

Enormous GDP growth continues<br />

in emerging markets such as China.<br />

Asia’s emerging economies, first and foremost China, continued to perform excellently in 2011.<br />

Despite weakening growth in connection with global developments, outstanding growth r<strong>at</strong>es of<br />

9.2 and 8.2 per cent have been projected in China for 2011 and 2012 respectively. The country has<br />

the necessary financial resources to cope even with scenarios of economic crisis in connection with<br />

banks, the real est<strong>at</strong>e market or increasing wages. However, the popul<strong>at</strong>ion’s growing discontent<br />

with the political situ<strong>at</strong>ion might become a barrier to growth.<br />

In 2011, financial markets all over the world were marked by gre<strong>at</strong> uncertainty and hence high<br />

vol<strong>at</strong>ility, which acceler<strong>at</strong>ed tremendously in the second half of the year. Many stock markets again<br />

experienced bouts of turbulence, with share prices taking their sharpest plunges in years.<br />

Moreover, increasing fears of recession drove down commodity prices from mid-2011 onwards.<br />

Until April 2011, the oil price rose continuously to more than USD 125. After th<strong>at</strong>, the political instability<br />

in numerous oil-producing countries led to strong vol<strong>at</strong>ility <strong>at</strong> a high level, ranging between<br />

USD 100 and USD 120 for a barrel of Brent crude. At the end of the year, the price for one barrel of<br />

Brent crude was USD 107.30.<br />

In Central and Eastern Europe, the price of n<strong>at</strong>ural gas is strongly linked to the oil price due to the<br />

high share of n<strong>at</strong>ural gas deliveries from Russia. Therefore, the higher oil price also had a delayed<br />

effect on gas prices in Central and Eastern Europe, driving them up to between 2.5 and 2.8 cent/kWh,<br />

and causing gas energy prices in Europe to increase by 5 to 10 per cent in the second half of 2011,<br />

depending on the provider. On a global scale, however, the gas price rose to a lesser extent than<br />

the oil price.<br />

The higher prices for fossil fuels on the global markets and the nuclear power phase-out policy<br />

adopted in Germany in the second half of the year caused the electricity price <strong>at</strong> the European<br />

Energy Exchange EEX to stabilize <strong>at</strong> a high level between 60 and 70 EUR/MWh.<br />

In the second half of 2011, the euro depreci<strong>at</strong>ed considerably in light of the economic developments.<br />

After having risen to USD 1.45 as <strong>at</strong> 30 June 2011, the euro-to-dollar exchange r<strong>at</strong>e <strong>at</strong> the end of<br />

2011 was USD 1.29, which corresponds to a weakening of the euro by 3.2 per cent compared to the<br />

end-of-year price quoted in 2010. The euro-to-yuan exchange r<strong>at</strong>e showed a similar development:<br />

With the Chinese yuan valued <strong>at</strong> CNY 8.16 <strong>at</strong> the end of the year, the euro recorded a loss in value of<br />

7.5 per cent. However, the euro appreci<strong>at</strong>ed 8.9 per cent year-on-year against the Brazilian real.<br />

<strong>palfinger</strong> Annual Report 2011<br />

45

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