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NOAA Protocols for Fisheries Acoustics Surveys and Related ...

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Vessel position is determined by using Global Positioning System (GPS) fixes. These fixes<br />

serve as the primary geographic reference <strong>for</strong> all data <strong>and</strong> events.<br />

In rough seas, survey speed may need to be reduced to maintain data quality <strong>and</strong> safe<br />

shipboard operations. The field party chief, in consultation with the master of the vessel, must<br />

balance the need to maintain data quality, the need to make progress on completing the survey,<br />

<strong>and</strong> safety considerations when deciding whether to alter or suspend survey operations.<br />

Error<br />

Uncertainty, r<strong>and</strong>om, systematic – The national protocol document notes that<br />

“[t]he survey design (timing <strong>and</strong> location) should consider potential systematic changes in detection<br />

probability. If systematic changes in detection probability are discovered, either a change in the survey design<br />

is required or analyses should be conducted to determine a correction factor.” (<strong>NOAA</strong> <strong>Protocols</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Fisheries</strong><br />

<strong>Acoustics</strong> <strong>Surveys</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Related</strong> Sampling)<br />

As mentioned previously, a major assumption made in this survey is that the entire stock is<br />

available to the survey ef<strong>for</strong>t. Potential bias includes incomplete coverage of the population.<br />

The technique of linear interpolation at each cell area <strong>and</strong> subsequent summing to desired<br />

area does not allow <strong>for</strong> propagation of error in the estimates of abundance, meaning the level of<br />

uncertainty in biomass estimate is not known.<br />

The reader should note that this section addresses potential sources of error in the acoustic<br />

survey design <strong>and</strong> sampling, not in the stock assessment modeling process.<br />

Considerations<br />

Remediation – If it is found that the survey design is in some facet inappropriate (e.g., ill<br />

timed, deficient in geographic coverage, or the acoustic technique used is found not to be<br />

robust across full range of conditions employed) a new survey design must be considered.<br />

However, changes in design must include a strategy <strong>for</strong> considering the potential impacts on<br />

the complete survey time series as on future surveys. As an example, the survey design by the<br />

Pacific hake survey underwent changes in 1992 <strong>and</strong> 1995: the survey was exp<strong>and</strong>ed offshore<br />

<strong>and</strong> further northward, <strong>and</strong> previous data points in the survey time series were back-corrected<br />

<strong>for</strong> this expansion in the assessment (Dorn et al., 1994; Dorn, 1996; Wilson <strong>and</strong> Guttormsen,<br />

1997). The revision of the design was done based on an accumulation of new in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

about stock distribution (more northerly <strong>and</strong> offshore) to ensure more complete coverage of the<br />

population.<br />

Underst<strong>and</strong>ing the uncertainty associated with the coast wide Pacific hake biomass estimate<br />

is an area of current research. One initial approach that has already been attempted is to apply<br />

the technique of Jolly <strong>and</strong> Hampton (1990) in a post survey stratification scheme that treats each<br />

transect as a sampling unit (Fleischer et al., in review). In this way, a mean <strong>and</strong> variance <strong>for</strong><br />

biomass in each stratum <strong>and</strong> <strong>for</strong> the total biomass was estimated, however the error associated<br />

with the point estimate propagated by this technique did not consider observation errors.<br />

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