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Concessions and Leases in the Lao PDR

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2.1.7 - Trends <strong>in</strong> Approvals over Time<br />

Out of all projects with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ventory, <strong>the</strong> data collection<br />

team was able to obta<strong>in</strong> some type of project documentation<br />

with <strong>in</strong>formation on dates of approval, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g contracts,<br />

written legal agreements <strong>and</strong> MOUs, for 1,100 projects. S<strong>in</strong>ce<br />

<strong>the</strong> year 2000, but especially s<strong>in</strong>ce 2005, <strong>the</strong>re has been a<br />

very steep <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> l<strong>and</strong> deals (see Figure 4). The number<br />

of projects granted <strong>in</strong>creased by a factor of 50 <strong>in</strong> less than<br />

ten years. The slight decrease <strong>in</strong> approved projects between<br />

2007 <strong>and</strong> 2008 may be related to <strong>the</strong> national concession<br />

moratorium announced by <strong>the</strong> prime m<strong>in</strong>ister <strong>in</strong> May 2007.<br />

The decrease <strong>in</strong> 2009 is probably not related to an actual<br />

decrease <strong>in</strong> overall approvals, but ra<strong>the</strong>r to <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong><br />

data collection for this project began <strong>in</strong> 2009, <strong>and</strong> thus<br />

an <strong>in</strong>complete sample for 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2010 may have been<br />

ga<strong>the</strong>red. The <strong>in</strong>ventory data presented here mirrors <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

trends as presented <strong>in</strong> Policy Brief 01/2010 developed<br />

by <strong>the</strong> Poverty-Environment Initiative (with <strong>the</strong> UNDP, UNEP<br />

<strong>and</strong> MPI). The document states that, “<strong>in</strong> 2009 alone, 208<br />

projects were approved <strong>and</strong> implemented, valued at<br />

approximately USD 4.3 billion of FDI” (PEI, 2010).<br />

Figure 4: Increase <strong>in</strong> Investment Projects s<strong>in</strong>ce 2000<br />

1,200<br />

1,000<br />

# Deals<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

Year<br />

Approved Project Count per Year<br />

Cumulative Approved Project Count<br />

2.1.8 - Implementation Status<br />

Of all projects <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ventory, 2,027 (77%) were<br />

operational as of <strong>the</strong> end of 2010. Those projects cover<br />

717,896 ha, or 65% of all l<strong>and</strong> under <strong>in</strong>vestment. This does not<br />

mean that all those projects were fully implemented at that<br />

time, but ra<strong>the</strong>r that <strong>the</strong>y had <strong>in</strong>itiated activities <strong>in</strong> one way<br />

or ano<strong>the</strong>r. It is still notable that more than three quarters of<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestors had launched activities at <strong>the</strong> time of data collection,<br />

as this contradicts concerns <strong>and</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong> many o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

parts of <strong>the</strong> world that l<strong>and</strong> deals are often purely speculative<br />

<strong>in</strong> nature (Anseeuw et al., 2012). Still, cases of <strong>in</strong>vestors<br />

exploit<strong>in</strong>g granted l<strong>and</strong> solely for clear-cut logg<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stead of<br />

carry<strong>in</strong>g out proposed <strong>in</strong>vestment activities, as confirmed by<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ventory team, are abundant throughout <strong>the</strong> <strong>Lao</strong> <strong>PDR</strong>.<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r 3% of all projects were <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>itial phase of survey<strong>in</strong>g<br />

or perform<strong>in</strong>g feasibility studies. 15% of all projects approved<br />

(mean<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>y had already reached an agreement with <strong>the</strong><br />

appropriate parties regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> area for <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>and</strong> had<br />

signed a contract or MOU) were not operational at <strong>the</strong> time of<br />

survey<strong>in</strong>g. Though represent<strong>in</strong>g 15% of all deals, <strong>the</strong>se nonoperational<br />

projects covered a significant 338,226 ha of l<strong>and</strong>,<br />

or 31% of <strong>the</strong> total area under <strong>in</strong>vestment. All o<strong>the</strong>r projects<br />

have ei<strong>the</strong>r been cancelled or have f<strong>in</strong>ished operations.<br />

2.2 - Investment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Primary Sector<br />

Investment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> primary sector far exceeds <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong><br />

any o<strong>the</strong>r sectors, mak<strong>in</strong>g m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g, forestry <strong>and</strong> agriculture<br />

significant across most o<strong>the</strong>r characteristics of <strong>in</strong>vestment.<br />

M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g is <strong>the</strong> largest subsector <strong>in</strong> terms of both area <strong>and</strong><br />

number of projects (21% of all projects, 50% of total area),<br />

with forestry <strong>and</strong> agriculture less but still significantly sizeable<br />

(see Table 2 <strong>and</strong> Figure 5).<br />

The distribution of different types of <strong>in</strong>vestors across <strong>the</strong><br />

agriculture, m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> forestry subsectors strays only slightly<br />

from overall trends (see Figure 6). While jo<strong>in</strong>t ventures have<br />

projects spread evenly across all three subsectors, domestic<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestors hold a large number of small m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g projects (413<br />

out of a total 686 domestic primary sector deals), <strong>and</strong> foreign<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestors are <strong>in</strong>volved slightly more <strong>in</strong> forestry than <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

RESULTS<br />

27

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