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Concessions and Leases in the Lao PDR

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Table 18: Elevation of Investment Projects Compared to All L<strong>and</strong> by Region<br />

North<br />

Centre South Nationwide<br />

Investment<br />

Investment<br />

Elevation Total Area Total Area<br />

Total Area<br />

Areas<br />

Areas<br />

Investment<br />

Areas<br />

Total Area<br />

Investment<br />

Areas<br />

0 - 200<br />

0%<br />

0%<br />

18%<br />

42%<br />

44%<br />

53%<br />

18%<br />

39%<br />

200 - 500<br />

12%<br />

9%<br />

28%<br />

44%<br />

27%<br />

28%<br />

21%<br />

30%<br />

500 - 800<br />

34%<br />

47%<br />

22%<br />

6%<br />

12%<br />

5%<br />

24%<br />

13%<br />

800 - 1,200<br />

41%<br />

39%<br />

20%<br />

7%<br />

13%<br />

12%<br />

27%<br />

16%<br />

> 1,200<br />

13%<br />

5%<br />

12%<br />

2%<br />

4%<br />

3%<br />

10%<br />

3%<br />

3.2 - Accessibility<br />

The geography which dom<strong>in</strong>ates most of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Lao</strong> <strong>PDR</strong> is<br />

ruggedly mounta<strong>in</strong>ous, <strong>and</strong> issues of accessibility have long<br />

shaped <strong>the</strong> geopolitical importance as well as <strong>the</strong> socioeconomic<br />

position of this l<strong>and</strong>locked, sparsely populated country. The<br />

transportation system is cont<strong>in</strong>uously evolv<strong>in</strong>g with <strong>the</strong><br />

construction of new roads, bridges <strong>and</strong> airports, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

largely rural population is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly connected to markets<br />

<strong>and</strong> services. Transportation <strong>and</strong> access are l<strong>in</strong>ked to economic<br />

development, but whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>and</strong> to what degree <strong>the</strong>y shape<br />

patterns <strong>in</strong> l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>and</strong> vice versa is explored <strong>in</strong> this<br />

section. The GoL also expects l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments to br<strong>in</strong>g<br />

improvements <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure – a benefit which would<br />

affect local communities <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> wider transportation<br />

network across <strong>the</strong> country. Research on <strong>the</strong> reality of this<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Lao</strong> <strong>PDR</strong>’s current l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment context is needed,<br />

though global studies have shown that while o<strong>the</strong>r socioeconomic<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g employment creation do not<br />

necessarily improve as a result of major l<strong>and</strong> deals, transport<br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure often does improve (Anseeuw et al., 2012).<br />

In <strong>the</strong> <strong>Lao</strong> <strong>PDR</strong>, it is important to determ<strong>in</strong>e whe<strong>the</strong>r large<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment projects provide additional <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />

development or, <strong>in</strong>stead, whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>vestors tend to select<br />

areas where such <strong>in</strong>frastructure is already <strong>in</strong> place. The analysis<br />

of accessibility across areas under <strong>in</strong>vestment will shed some<br />

light on this question by look<strong>in</strong>g at <strong>the</strong> general accessibility<br />

of areas where <strong>in</strong>vestment projects occur <strong>and</strong> patterns of<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment related to <strong>the</strong>ir travel time from <strong>the</strong> closest district<br />

capital.<br />

The estimated travel time from <strong>the</strong> district capital to <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment area was <strong>the</strong> measure used <strong>in</strong> this analysis to<br />

quantify accessibility <strong>and</strong> travel time for each concession was<br />

weighted by <strong>the</strong> area of that project. Consider<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> range of<br />

logistical challenges <strong>in</strong>herent <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> data collection process,<br />

a certa<strong>in</strong> level of bias should be assumed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> analysis<br />

presented here (especially a tarmac <strong>and</strong> road bias). On average,<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment projects are located around 1 ½ hours from<br />

<strong>the</strong> closest district capital. Almost half of <strong>the</strong> l<strong>and</strong> granted<br />

for <strong>in</strong>vestment is with<strong>in</strong> one hour (see Map 16), though <strong>the</strong>re<br />

is a significant difference <strong>in</strong> accessibility between concession<br />

<strong>and</strong> lease project areas as well as across sectors. Almost all<br />

areas under lease are reachable with<strong>in</strong> one hour, however<br />

53% of concession project areas are outside of one hour’s<br />

reach <strong>and</strong> 13% of concession areas are not even with<strong>in</strong> three<br />

hours of <strong>the</strong> next district capital (see Figure 17).<br />

Sector-wise, it is not surpris<strong>in</strong>g that l<strong>and</strong> deals <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> tertiary<br />

sector are located <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> most accessible areas, as this<br />

sector focuses on <strong>the</strong> provision of goods <strong>and</strong> services <strong>and</strong> is<br />

dom<strong>in</strong>ated by smaller lease projects <strong>in</strong> or around urban<br />

areas. Primary sector deals occur <strong>in</strong> more remote areas, as<br />

<strong>the</strong>y are focused on natural resource extraction <strong>and</strong> often<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> larger areas for operation. That said, <strong>the</strong> agriculture,<br />

forestry <strong>and</strong> m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g subsectors follow very different trends <strong>in</strong><br />

terms of accessibility (see Figure 18).<br />

The majority of agriculture <strong>and</strong> forestry areas under <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

(77% <strong>and</strong> 62% respectively) are located with<strong>in</strong> just one hour<br />

from <strong>the</strong> district capital, <strong>and</strong> 97% <strong>and</strong> 93% respectively are<br />

located with<strong>in</strong> two hours (see Figure 18). M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g st<strong>and</strong>s out<br />

with 58% of <strong>the</strong> area under <strong>in</strong>vestment over two hours from<br />

<strong>the</strong> district capital. M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g projects are necessarily located<br />

wherever significant m<strong>in</strong>eral deposits are regardless of accessibility,<br />

<strong>and</strong> if expected profit marg<strong>in</strong>s are large enough <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> required <strong>in</strong>frastructure does not already exist, it will often<br />

be developed by <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestor. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r h<strong>and</strong>, agricultural<br />

<strong>and</strong> forestry <strong>in</strong>vestments be<strong>in</strong>g less capital <strong>in</strong>tensive, <strong>the</strong>y<br />

appear also to be more dependent on pre-exist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />

<strong>and</strong> proximity to markets as well labour.<br />

Although forestry <strong>and</strong> agriculture <strong>in</strong>vestments are not found<br />

<strong>in</strong> areas as remote as is commonly assumed, many district<br />

capitals can still be considered remote locations difficult to<br />

CONTEXT OF INVESTMENT<br />

55

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