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Decision-making<br />

Low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries<br />

High-income countries<br />

Cause Deaths Cause Deaths<br />

(millions)<br />

(millions)<br />

1 Ischaemic heart disease 5.70 11.8% 1 Ischaemic heart disease 1.36 17.3%<br />

2 Cerebrovascular disease 4.61 9.5% 2 Cerebrovascular disease 0.78 9.9%<br />

3 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 3.41 7.0% 3 Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers 0.46 5.8%<br />

4 HIV/AIDS 2.55 5.3% 4 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 0.34 4.4%<br />

5 Perinatal conditions 2.49 5.1% 5 Chronic obstructive pulmonary<br />

disease 0.30 3.8%<br />

6 Chronic obstructive<br />

pulmonary disease 2.38 4.9% 6 Colon <strong>and</strong> rectum cancers 0.26 3.3%<br />

7 Diarrhoeal diseases 1.78 3.7% 7 Alzheimer <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r dementias 0.21 2.6%<br />

8 Tuberculosis 1.59 3.3% 8 Diabetes mellitus 0.20 2.6%<br />

9 Malaria 1.21 2.5% 9 Breast cancer 0.16 2.0%<br />

10 Road traffic accidents 1.07 2.2% 10 S<strong>to</strong>mach cancer 0.15 1.9%<br />

Table 2: The ten leading causes of death, by broad income group, 2001<br />

responsible for 21 <strong>to</strong> 36% of deaths. Such a shift in <strong>the</strong><br />

cause of death pattern has not occurred in sub-Saharan<br />

Africa, where perinatal conditions rank in fourth place <strong>and</strong><br />

malaria, lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections, <strong>and</strong> diarrhoeal diseases<br />

continue <strong>to</strong> be <strong>the</strong> leading causes of death in children,<br />

accounting for 53% of all deaths.<br />

About 90% of all HIV/AIDS <strong>and</strong> malaria deaths in children<br />

in developing countries occur in sub-Saharan Africa, which<br />

accounts for 23% of <strong>the</strong> world’s births <strong>and</strong> 42% of <strong>the</strong> world’s<br />

child deaths. The immense surge of HIV/AIDS mortality in<br />

children in recent years means that HIV/AIDS is now<br />

responsible for 332 000 child deaths annually in sub-Saharan<br />

Africa <strong>and</strong> nearly 8% of all child deaths in <strong>the</strong> region.<br />

Some progress has been made against diarrhoeal diseases<br />

<strong>and</strong> measles. While <strong>the</strong> incidence of diarrhoeal diseases is<br />

thought <strong>to</strong> have remained stable, mortality from diarrhoeal<br />

diseases has fallen from 2.5 million deaths in 1990 <strong>to</strong> about<br />

1.6 million deaths in 2001, <strong>and</strong> now accounts for 13% of all<br />

deaths of children under age 15. Deaths from measles have<br />

declined modestly, although more than 0.5 million children<br />

under five still died from this disease in 2001. Malaria causes<br />

more than a million child deaths per year or nearly 11% of all<br />

deaths of children under five.<br />

Leading causes of death in adults<br />

Table 5 shows <strong>the</strong> leading causes of deaths among adults age<br />

15 <strong>to</strong> 59 worldwide in 2001. Despite a global trend of<br />

declining communicable disease burden in adults, HIV/AIDS<br />

has become <strong>the</strong> leading cause of mortality <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> single<br />

most important contribu<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> burden of disease among<br />

adults in this age group.<br />

Nearly 80% of <strong>the</strong> 2.1 million adult deaths from HIV/AIDS<br />

in 2001 occurred in sub-Saharan Africa. In this region,<br />

HIV/AIDS is <strong>the</strong> leading cause of death, resulting in more than<br />

6000 deaths every day <strong>and</strong> accounting for almost 1 in 5<br />

deaths for all ages <strong>and</strong> 1 in 2 deaths of adults age 15 <strong>to</strong> 59.<br />

HIV/AIDS has reversed mortality trends among adults in <strong>the</strong><br />

region, <strong>and</strong> in many countries, life expectancies have<br />

declined since 1990.<br />

The 4.5 million adult injury deaths in 2001 were heavily<br />

concentrated among young adults, particularly men. In <strong>the</strong><br />

15 <strong>to</strong> 59 age group, road traffic accidents <strong>and</strong> suicide were<br />

among <strong>the</strong> 10 leading causes of death in high-income <strong>and</strong><br />

low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries, <strong>and</strong> violence (homicide)<br />

was also among <strong>the</strong> 10 leading causes in low- <strong>and</strong> middleincome<br />

countries. Among adults age 15 <strong>to</strong> 44 worldwide,<br />

road traffic accidents were <strong>the</strong> leading cause of death for men<br />

after HIV/AIDS, followed by TB <strong>and</strong> violence. Suicide was <strong>the</strong><br />

third leading cause of death for women in this age group,<br />

after HIV/AIDS <strong>and</strong> TB, with road traffic accidents in fifth<br />

place.<br />

The risk of death rises rapidly with age among adults aged<br />

Males<br />

Females<br />

Cause Deaths Cause Deaths<br />

(millions)<br />

(millions)<br />

1 Ischaemic heart disease 3.01 11.8% 1 Ischaemic heart disease 2.69 11.8%<br />

2 Cerebrovascular disease 2.17 8.5% 2 Cerebrovascular disease 2.44 10.7%<br />

3 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 1.72 6.7% 3 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 1.68 7.4%<br />

4 Perinatal conditions 1.38 5.4% 4 HIV/AIDS 1.18 5.2%<br />

5 HIV/AIDS 1.38 5.4% 5 Chronic obstructive<br />

pulmonary disease 1.17 5.1%<br />

6 Chronic obstructive<br />

pulmonary disease 1.21 4.7% 6 Perinatal conditions 1.11 4.9%<br />

7 Tuberculosis 1.04 4.1% 7 Diarrhoeal diseases 0.85 3.7%<br />

8 Diarrhoeal diseases 0.93 3.6% 8 Malaria 0.63 2.8%<br />

9 Road traffic accidents 0.78 3.1% 9 Tuberculosis 0.55 2.4%<br />

10 Malaria 0.58 2.3% 10 Diabetes mellitus 0.42 1.8%<br />

Table 3: The 10 leading causes of death, by sex, low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries, 2001<br />

Global Forum Update on Research for Health Volume 4 ✜ 169

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