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Decision-making<br />

Low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries<br />

High-income countries<br />

Cause DALYs Cause DALYs<br />

(millions) (millions)<br />

of years<br />

of years<br />

1 Perinatal conditions 89.07 6.4% 1 Ischaemic heart disease 12.39 8.3%<br />

2 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 83.61 6.0% 2 Cerebrovascular disease 9.35 6.3%<br />

3 Ischaemic heart disease 71.88 5.2% 3 Unipolar depressive disorders 8.41 5.6%<br />

4 HIV/AIDS 70.80 5.1% 4 Alzheimer <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r dementias* 7.47 5.0%<br />

5 Cerebrovascular disease 62.67 4.5% 5 Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers 5.40 3.6%<br />

6 Diarrhoeal diseases 58.70 4.2% 6 Hearing loss, adult onset 5.39 3.6%<br />

7 Unipolar depressive disorders 43.43 3.1% 7 Chronic obstructive<br />

pulmonary disease 5.28 3.5%<br />

8 Malaria 39.96 2.9% 8 Diabetes mellitus 4.19 2.8%<br />

9 Tuberculosis 35.87 2.6% 9 Alcohol use disorders 4.17 2.8%<br />

10 Chronic obstructive<br />

pulmonary disease 33.45 2.4% 10 Osteoarthritis 3.79 2.5%<br />

Table 8: The 10 leading causes of burden of disease, DALYs, by broad income group, 2001<br />

<strong>to</strong>tal burden of disease borne by adults age 15 <strong>to</strong> 59 was <strong>the</strong><br />

same in both groups of countries, adults older than 60<br />

accounted for a significantly larger share of <strong>the</strong> disease<br />

burden in high-income countries.<br />

Although injuries become more important for boys beyond<br />

infancy, <strong>the</strong> causes of <strong>the</strong> burden of disease are broadly<br />

similar for boys <strong>and</strong> girls. However, striking gender<br />

differences emerge in adulthood. In low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income<br />

countries, 5 of <strong>the</strong> 10 leading causes of DALYs for men age<br />

15 <strong>to</strong> 44 are injuries. Indeed, after HIV/AIDS, road traffic<br />

accidents were <strong>the</strong> second leading cause of <strong>the</strong> burden of<br />

disease for men in this age group. O<strong>the</strong>r unintentional<br />

injuries <strong>and</strong> violence were <strong>the</strong> third <strong>and</strong> fourth leading<br />

causes, with self-inflicted injuries <strong>and</strong> war also appearing in<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p 10 causes. Injuries were also important for women<br />

age 15 <strong>to</strong> 44, although road traffic accidents were <strong>the</strong> tenth<br />

leading cause, preceded by o<strong>the</strong>r unintentional injuries in<br />

fourth place <strong>and</strong> self-inflicted injuries in sixth place. Unipolar<br />

depressive disorders were <strong>the</strong> second leading cause of <strong>the</strong><br />

burden for women in this age group, after HIV/AIDS.<br />

The growing burden of noncommunicable<br />

diseases<br />

The burden of noncommunicable diseases is increasing,<br />

accounting for nearly half <strong>the</strong> global burden of disease for all<br />

ages, a 10% increase from estimated levels in 1990. While<br />

<strong>the</strong> proportion of <strong>the</strong> burden from noncommunicable disease<br />

in high-income countries has remained stable at around<br />

85% in adults age 15 <strong>and</strong> older, <strong>the</strong> proportion in middleincome<br />

countries has already exceeded 70%. Surprisingly,<br />

almost 50% of <strong>the</strong> adult disease burden in low- <strong>and</strong> middleincome<br />

countries is now attributable <strong>to</strong> noncommunicable<br />

disease. Population ageing <strong>and</strong> changes in <strong>the</strong> distribution of<br />

risk fac<strong>to</strong>rs have accelerated <strong>the</strong> epidemic of<br />

noncommunicable disease in many developing countries.<br />

CVD accounted for 13% of <strong>the</strong> disease burden among<br />

adults age 15 <strong>and</strong> older in 2001. IHD <strong>and</strong> cerebrovascular<br />

disease (stroke) were <strong>the</strong> two leading causes of mortality <strong>and</strong><br />

disease burden among adults age 60 <strong>and</strong> older <strong>and</strong> were<br />

also among <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p 10 causes of disease burden in adults<br />

age 15 <strong>to</strong> 59. In low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries, IHD <strong>and</strong><br />

cerebrovascular disease (stroke) were <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r responsible<br />

for 15% of disease burden in those aged 15 <strong>and</strong> older, <strong>and</strong><br />

DALYs rates were higher for men than for women.<br />

The proportion of <strong>the</strong> burden among adults age 15 <strong>and</strong><br />

older attributable <strong>to</strong> cancer was 6% in low- <strong>and</strong> middleincome<br />

countries <strong>and</strong> 14% in high-income countries in<br />

2001. Of <strong>the</strong> 7.1 million cancer deaths estimated <strong>to</strong> have<br />

occurred in that year, 17%, or 1.2 million, were attributable<br />

<strong>to</strong> lung cancer alone, <strong>and</strong> of <strong>the</strong>se, three quarters occurred<br />

5%<br />

2%<br />

21%<br />

31%<br />

0-4<br />

5-14<br />

15-59<br />

60+<br />

51%<br />

42%<br />

0-4<br />

5-14<br />

15-59<br />

60+<br />

42%<br />

6%<br />

Low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries<br />

High-income countries<br />

Figure 3: Age distribution of disease burden (DALYs), by income group, 2001 Source: Ma<strong>the</strong>rs et al. 2006<br />

172 ✜ Global Forum Update on Research for Health Volume 4

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