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Comprehensive Risk Assessment for Natural Hazards - Planat

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<strong>Comprehensive</strong> risk assessment <strong>for</strong> natural hazards<br />

Discharge:* Volume of water flowing through a river (or<br />

channel) cross-section in unit time.<br />

Elements at risk:** The population, buildings and civil engineering<br />

works, economic activities, public services,<br />

utilities and infrastructure, etc. exposed to hazard.<br />

El Niño:*** An anomalous warming of ocean water off the<br />

west coast of South America, usually accompanied by<br />

heavy rainfall in the coastal region of Peru and Chile.<br />

Envelope curve:* Smooth curve which represents the<br />

boundary within which all or most of the known data<br />

points are contained.<br />

Flash flood:* Flood of short duration with a relatively high<br />

peak discharge.<br />

Flood:*(1) Rise, usually brief, in the water level in a stream<br />

to a peak from which the water level recedes at<br />

a slower rate.<br />

(2) Relatively high flow as measured by stage height<br />

or discharge.<br />

(3) Rising tide.<br />

Flood <strong>for</strong>ecasting:* Estimation of stage, discharge, time of<br />

occurrence and duration of a flood, especially of peak<br />

discharge, at a specified point on a stream, resulting<br />

from precipitation and/or snowmelt.<br />

Flood plain:* Nearly level land along a stream flooded only<br />

when the streamflow exceeds the water carrying capacity<br />

of the channel.<br />

Flood-protection structures: Levees, banks or other works<br />

along a stream, designed to confine flow to a particular<br />

channel or direct it along planned floodways; a floodcontrol<br />

reservoir.<br />

Flood routing:** Technique used to compute the movement<br />

and change of shape of a flood wave moving through a<br />

river reach or a reservoir.<br />

Hazard:** A threatening event, or the probability of occurrence<br />

of a potentially damaging phenomenon within a<br />

given time period and area.<br />

Hydrograph:* Graph showing the variation in time of some<br />

hydrological data such as stage, discharge, velocity, sediment<br />

load, etc. (hydrograph is mostly used <strong>for</strong> stage or<br />

discharge).<br />

Ice jam:* Accumulation of ice at a given location which, in a<br />

river, restricts the flow of water.<br />

Mean return interval:** See mean return period.<br />

Mean return period:** The average time between occurrences<br />

of a particular hazardous event.<br />

Mitigation:** Measures taken in advance of a disaster aimed<br />

at decreasing or eliminating its impact on society and<br />

the environment.<br />

Peak flow:** The largest flow rate during a given flood (synonym:<br />

peak discharge).<br />

Preparedness:** Activities designed to minimize loss of life<br />

and damage, to organize the temporary removal of<br />

people and property from a threatened location and<br />

facilitate timely and effective rescue, relief and<br />

rehabilitation.<br />

Prevention:** Encompasses activities designed to provide<br />

permanent protection from disasters. It includes<br />

engineering and other physical protective measures, and<br />

also legislative measures controlling land use and urban<br />

planning.<br />

Probable maximum flood (PMF):** The largest flood that<br />

could conceivably occur at a given location.<br />

Probable (possible) maximum precipitation (PMP):*** The<br />

theoretically greatest depth of precipitation <strong>for</strong> a specific<br />

duration which is physically possible over a<br />

particular drainage area at a certain time of the year.<br />

Rainfall-runoff model:** A mathematical model that predicts<br />

the discharge of given river as a function of rainfall.<br />

Rating curve:* Curve showing the relation between stage<br />

and discharge of a stream at a hydrometric station. If<br />

digitized, it is a rating table.<br />

Recurrence interval:Seemean return period.<br />

Relief:** Assistance and/or intervention during or after disaster<br />

to meet life preservation and basic subsistence<br />

needs. It can be of emergency or protracted duration.<br />

<strong>Risk</strong>:** Expected losses (of lives, persons injured, property<br />

damaged, and economic activity disrupted) due to a<br />

particular hazard <strong>for</strong> a given area and reference period.<br />

Based on mathematical calculations, risk is the product<br />

of hazard and vulnerability.<br />

Stage:* Vertical distance of the water surface of a stream,<br />

lake, reservoir (or groundwater observation well) relative<br />

to a gauge datum.<br />

Storm surge:** A sudden rise of sea level as a result of high<br />

winds and low atmospheric pressure (also called storm<br />

tide, storm wave or tidal wave).<br />

Tropical cyclone:* Cyclone of tropical origin of small diameter<br />

(some hundreds of kilometres) with minimum<br />

surface pressure in some cases less than 900 hPa, very<br />

violent winds, and torrential rain; sometimes accompanied<br />

by thunderstorms.<br />

Tsunami:* Great sea wave produced by a submarine earthquake<br />

or volcanic eruption.<br />

Vulnerability:** Degree of loss (from 0 per cent to 100 per cent)<br />

resulting from a potentially damaging phenomenon.<br />

Watershed:** All land within the confines of a topographically<br />

determined drainage divide. All surface water<br />

within the watershed has a common outlet (synonym:<br />

catchment, drainage basin).<br />

Water surface profile: The elevation of the water surface<br />

along the river centreline, usually plotted along with the<br />

elevation of the channel as a function of river distance<br />

from a tributary junction.<br />

T-year flood: In each year, there is a 1/T probability on average<br />

that a flood of magnitude Q T or greater will occur.<br />

The 100-year flood is a commonly applied T-year flood<br />

where T is 100 years.<br />

3.13 REFERENCES<br />

American Society of Civil Engineers and Water Pollution<br />

Control Federation (ASCE and WPCF), 1970: Design<br />

and Construction of Sanitary and Storm Sewers, ASCE<br />

Manuals and Reports of Engineering Practice No. 37 or<br />

WPCF Manual of Practice No. 9, ASCE, New York or<br />

WPCF, Washington, DC, 332 pp.<br />

Aysan, Y.F., 1993: Vulnerability <strong>Assessment</strong>, in <strong>Natural</strong><br />

Disasters: Protecting Vulnerable Communities, Thomas<br />

Tel<strong>for</strong>d, London, pp. 1-14.<br />

31

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