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Comprehensive Risk Assessment for Natural Hazards - Planat

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44<br />

Hazard:* A threatening event, or the probability of occurrence<br />

of a potentially damaging phenomenon within a given<br />

time period and area.<br />

Lahar:* A term originating in Indonesia, designating a debris<br />

flow over the flank of a volcano.<br />

Lava flow:* Molten rock which flows down-slope from a<br />

volcanic vent, typically moving between a few metres to<br />

several tens of kilometres per hour.<br />

Magma:* The molten matter including liquid rock and gas<br />

under pressure which may emerge from a volcanic vent.<br />

Magma chamber:** An underground reservoir in which<br />

magma is stored.<br />

Mean return period:* The average time between occurrence of<br />

a particular hazardous event.<br />

Mitigation:* Measures taken in advance of a disaster aimed at<br />

decreasing or eliminating its impact on society and environment.<br />

Monitoring:* System that permits the continuous observation,<br />

measurement and a valuation of the progress of a process<br />

or phenomenon with a view to taking corrective<br />

measures.<br />

Mud flow:* The down-slope transfer of fine earth material<br />

mixed with water.<br />

Nuée ardente:* A classical expression <strong>for</strong> “Pyroclastic flow”.<br />

Precursor:* Phenomena indicating a probable occurrence of an<br />

earthquake or a volcanic eruption.<br />

Prediction:* A statement of the expected time, place and<br />

magnitude of a future event (<strong>for</strong> volcanic eruptions).<br />

Prevention:* Encompasses activities designed to provide<br />

permanent protection from disasters. It includes engineering<br />

and other physical protective measures, and also<br />

legislative measures controlling land use and urban planning.<br />

Pyroclastic flow:* High-density flow of solid volcanic fragments<br />

suspended in gas which flow downslope from a<br />

volcanic vent (at speed up to 200 km/h) which may also<br />

develop from partial collapse of a vertical eruption cone,<br />

subdivided according to fragment composition and<br />

nature of flowage into: ash flow, glowing avalanche, (“nuée<br />

ardente”), pumice flow.<br />

Repose time:** The interval between eruptions on an active<br />

volcano.<br />

<strong>Risk</strong>:* Expected losses (of lives, persons injured, property<br />

damaged, and economic activity disrupted) due to a<br />

particular hazard <strong>for</strong> a given area and reference period.<br />

Based on mathematical calculations, risk is the product of<br />

hazard and vulnerability.<br />

Seismicity:* The distribution of earthquake in space and time.<br />

Swarm: A series of minor earthquakes, none of which may be<br />

identified as the mainshock, occurring in a limited area<br />

and time.<br />

Tephra: A general term <strong>for</strong> all fragmented volcanic material,<br />

including blocks, pumice and volcanic ash. Fallout tephra<br />

from eruption columns and clouds may be called airfall,<br />

ash fall or tephra fall.<br />

Tremor, harmonic:** Volcanic tremor that has a steady<br />

frequency and amplitude.<br />

Tremor, volcanic:** A continuous vibration of the ground,<br />

detectable by seismographs, that is associated with<br />

volcanic eruption and other subsurface volcanic activity.<br />

Chapter 4 — Volcanic hazards<br />

Viscosity:** A measure of resistance to flow in a liquid.<br />

Volcanic eruption:* The discharge (aerially explosive) of<br />

fragmentary ejecta, lava and gazes from a volcanic<br />

vent.<br />

Volcanic eruption index (VEI): Relative measure of the explosive<br />

vigor of eruptions.VEI combines principally volume<br />

of products and eruption cloud height. The scale ranges<br />

from 0 to 8, the highest value.<br />

Volcano:* The mountain <strong>for</strong>med by local accumulation of<br />

volcanic materials around an erupting vent.<br />

Vulnerability:* Degree of loss (from 0 to 100 per cent) resulting<br />

from a potentially damaging phenomenon.<br />

Zonation:* In general it is the subdivision of a geographical<br />

entity (country, region, etc.) into homogenous sectors<br />

with respect to certain criteria (<strong>for</strong> example, intensity of<br />

the hazard, degree of risk, same overall protection against<br />

a given hazard, etc.).<br />

4.9 REFERENCES<br />

Blaikies,P.,T.Cannon,I.Davis and B.Wisner,1994:At <strong>Risk</strong>,<br />

<strong>Natural</strong> <strong>Hazards</strong>, People’s Vulnerability and Disasters.<br />

Routledge, London and New-York, 284 pp.<br />

Blong, R.J., 1984: Volcanics <strong>Hazards</strong>, a Sourcebook on the<br />

Effects of Eruptions, Academic Press, 424 pp.<br />

Bonham-Carter, G.F., 1994: Geographic In<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

Systems <strong>for</strong> Geoscientists, Modeling with GIS.<br />

Computer Methods in the Geosciences, Vol. 13,<br />

Pergamon, 398 pp.<br />

Cannon, T., 1994: Vulnerability Analysis and the Explanation<br />

of “<strong>Natural</strong>” Disasters in Disasters, development and<br />

environment, editors A.Varley, John Wiley and Sons Ltd.<br />

CERESIS, 1989: Riesgo Volcánico, Evaluación y Mitigación en<br />

América Latina, Aspectos Sociales, Institucionales y<br />

Científicos, editor CERESIS, Lima, 298 pp.<br />

Chouet, A.B., 1996: Long-period volcano seismicity: its<br />

source and use in eruption <strong>for</strong>ecasting, review article,<br />

Nature, 380, pp. 309-316.<br />

Crandell, D.R., 1973: Map showing potential hazards from<br />

future eruptions of Mount Rainier, Washington (with<br />

accompanying text), U.S. Geological Survey,<br />

Miscellaneous geologic investigation, Map I-836.<br />

Crandell, D.R., B. Booth, K. Kusumadinata, D.Shimozuru,<br />

G.P.L. Walker and D. Westercamp, 1984: Source-book <strong>for</strong><br />

volcanic-hazards zonation, UNESCO, Paris, 97 pp.<br />

Decker R.W. and B.B. Decker, 1992: Mountains of Fire;<br />

the Nature of Volcanoes, Cambridge University Press,<br />

198 pp.<br />

Dvorak, J.J. and D. Dzurizin, 1997: Volcano Geodesy: The<br />

Search <strong>for</strong> Magma Reservoir and the Formation of<br />

Eruptive Vents,AGU, Reviews of Geophysics, 35, pp. 343-<br />

384.<br />

Ewert, J.W. and D.A. Swanson, 1992: Monitoring volcanoes:<br />

Techniques and strategies used by the staff of the cascades<br />

volcano observatory, 1980-90, U.S. Geological<br />

Survey Bulletin, 1966, 223 pp.<br />

Fisher, R.V. and G.A. Smith, 1991: Sedimentation in Volcanic<br />

Settings, SEMP (Society <strong>for</strong> Sedimentary Geology),<br />

Tulsa, Oklahoma, Special publication No 45, 257 pp.

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