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FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES SEMI ANNUAL REPORT APRIL 2007<br />

TIRANA STOCK EXCHANGE<br />

ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS<br />

Economic and Political Environment<br />

A coalition of the Democratic Party of Albania<br />

(DPA) and several smaller allies won the<br />

parliamentary election on 3 July 2006. Since<br />

coming to power the DPA leader and new<br />

prime minister, Sali Berisha, vowed for deep<br />

reforms mainly towards the integration of<br />

Albania in the Euro-Atlantic structures,<br />

improvement of judiciary system,<br />

guaranteeing of free and fair electoral<br />

process, respecting human rights,<br />

decentralization of the local government as<br />

well as declaring a war on corruption and<br />

organized crime.<br />

The implementation of such strong reforms<br />

gave positive results in changing Albania’s<br />

image the western countries and was finalized<br />

with the endorsement of the Stabilization and<br />

Association Agreement (SAA) with European<br />

Union on June, 2006. Likewise, the Albanian<br />

government is undertaking all the necessary<br />

steps to make Albania the most attractive<br />

country in the region regarding foreign direct<br />

investments (FDIs) inflows. In this respect the<br />

government unveiled its initiative called<br />

“Albania 1 euro”, which intends to offer<br />

extremely cheap facilities for all the FDIs<br />

planning to invest in Albania. As far as<br />

country’s foreign policy concerns, integration<br />

to EU and NATO as well as the definition of<br />

Kosovo’s final status in full compliance with<br />

the UN and international factor<br />

recommendations, will remain key goals under<br />

the DPA-led government.<br />

Albania has signed a new three-year IMF<br />

Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility<br />

(PRGF), which puts a stronger emphasis on<br />

structural and institutional reforms, and on<br />

improving the business environment. Within<br />

this framework, the authorities will face the<br />

challenge of tackling widespread poverty.<br />

Public investment is likely to concentrate on<br />

infrastructure, healthcare and education. In the<br />

meantime, many other soft credit lines have<br />

been signed between Albanian government<br />

and World Bank, EBRD and many donors in<br />

order to finance some strategic public<br />

investments.<br />

Economic Performance<br />

According to international financial<br />

organizations who supervise the financial<br />

stability of the country (IMF and WB), Albania's<br />

macroeconomic performance over the past<br />

year has been good, with strong growth, large<br />

inward remittances, and a significant reduction<br />

in poverty. Macroeconomic stability has been<br />

maintained–evidenced by low inflation,<br />

decreasing debt, increasing confidence in the<br />

currency and the banking system, and rising<br />

international reserves. Although the current<br />

account deficit has deteriorated somewhat,<br />

the Albanian LEK (ALL) has continued to<br />

strengthen, reflecting rising confidence and<br />

declining risk premiums.<br />

Albania has signed a new three-year IMF<br />

Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility<br />

(PRGF), which puts a stronger emphasis on<br />

structural and institutional reforms, and on<br />

improving the business environment. Within<br />

this framework, the authorities will face the<br />

challenge of tackling widespread poverty. In<br />

the meantime, many soft credit lines have<br />

been signed between Albanian government<br />

and World Bank, EBRD and many donors in<br />

order to finance some strategic public<br />

investments. The expectation is for growth to<br />

moderate slightly in 2006 (around 6%), but to<br />

return to a faster pace in 2007 and over the<br />

longer term. However, sustaining this pace will<br />

require significant reforms to improve<br />

infrastructure and institutional quality–including<br />

governance and the rule of law. Such reforms<br />

will enable Albania to attract the high-quality<br />

investment needed to further develop the<br />

export sector, which remains small. The<br />

current rapid growth of financial intermediation<br />

is a positive development, and necessary for<br />

sustained high growth. Actions will be taken to<br />

tighten gradually prudential regulations and<br />

enhance banking supervision, to safeguard<br />

loan quality. The banking system displays<br />

satisfactory indicators of liquidity and<br />

capitalization at the end of 2006. It continues<br />

to realize a profitable activity, creating the<br />

grounds for its expansion in the future. Credit<br />

to economy has maintained its rapid growth<br />

rates, although its annual growth rate results<br />

to be lower than over 2005.<br />

In November, Parliament passed the State<br />

Budget for 2007. This budget is consistent<br />

with the authorities' strategy of developing a<br />

small but efficient government concentrated<br />

on its core functions. Likewise, the main<br />

priorities of the budget of 2007 will be towards<br />

reforms regarding education, healthcare and<br />

the legal system. Last but not least, during<br />

2007, Government will be strongly focused on<br />

the improvement of country’s infrastructure<br />

through the successful realization of planed<br />

public investments.*<br />

* Information provided by the Tirana Stock Exchange<br />

Key Information Contacts<br />

Bank of Albania www.bankofalbania.org<br />

Ministry of Finance www.minfin.gov.al<br />

Albanian Institute of Statistics www.instat.gov.all<br />

Albanian Securities Commission www.asc.gov.al<br />

Ministry of Economy www.mete.gov.al<br />

2004-ORIGINS OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (%)<br />

Agriculture, hunting, forestry<br />

Construction<br />

Industry<br />

Trade, Hotels and Restaurants<br />

Other services<br />

19.5<br />

12.5<br />

20.5<br />

9.0<br />

20.8<br />

PAGE 132

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