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FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES SEMI ANNUAL REPORT APRIL 2007<br />

ISTANBUL STOCK EXCHANGE<br />

ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS<br />

Economic and Political Environment<br />

Turkey has significantly improved its<br />

macroeconomic situation by the decisive<br />

implementation of a comprehensive economic<br />

program with the backing of a single party<br />

government. The policy combination followed<br />

since 2002, based on tight fiscal and monetary<br />

policies and a flexible exchange rate regime<br />

have led to an outstanding improvement in<br />

key economic variables. Structural reforms in<br />

financial markets together with a radical<br />

progress in policy framework and institutional<br />

advancement paved the way to sustainable<br />

high growth which enhanced prospects for<br />

Turkey’s eventual membership to the European<br />

Union (EU).<br />

Turkey has implemented a range of economic,<br />

political and social reforms in an effort to meet<br />

EU requirements. The ongoing process of EU<br />

accession and the signing of a new Stand-By<br />

arrangement with the IMF covering the period<br />

of 2005-2008 have created two strong anchors<br />

for increasing Turkey’s growth potential and<br />

improving a better functioning market economy.<br />

As a result of the EU pre-accesion process,<br />

Turkey’s economic legislation has been<br />

progressively aligned with the main policies and<br />

standarts of the EU which further strengthened<br />

the macroeconomic environment.<br />

The recently achieved macroeconomic stability<br />

and strong fiscal performance have improved<br />

confidence in the economy and contributed to<br />

maintain high growth rates in the consecutive<br />

four years. The annual growth rate averaged<br />

8%.<br />

As a result of take-overs, mergers and<br />

acquisitions, some of the ISE member<br />

brokerage houses and banks as well as ISE<br />

traded companies were bought by foreign<br />

investors. Consequently, the share of foreign<br />

banks in the Turkish banking sector increased.<br />

Economic Performance<br />

Following the GNP growth rate of 7.6%<br />

achieved in 2005, the Turkish economy grew by<br />

6.4%, 8.5% and 3.0% respectively in the first,<br />

second and third quarters of 2006. The growth<br />

was mainly driven by the construction sector<br />

which grew by 20.1% in the first nine months of<br />

2006. On the expenditures side, private sector<br />

consumption and investment expenditures<br />

made the highest contribution to growth.<br />

By the end of October 2006, exports and<br />

imports reached US$ 67.8 billion and<br />

US$ 112.3 billion, respectively, exports<br />

registering an increase of 12.5% and imports<br />

registering an increase of 17.7% compared<br />

to the January-October period of 2005.<br />

Accordingly, the rate of imports covered by<br />

exports stood at 60.4% as of end October<br />

2006.<br />

The year-on-year consumer price index<br />

increased to 9.86% as of end November<br />

2006, from 7.61% as of end November 2005.<br />

The year-on-year producer price index<br />

increased to 11.67% as of end November<br />

2006, from 1.60% as of end November 2005.<br />

The consolidated budget registered a deficit of<br />

YTL 3.8 billion as of the end of October 2006<br />

bringing the year to date primary surplus to<br />

YTL 37.1 billion. Total revenues increased by<br />

31.9% to YTL 140.5 billion and total<br />

expenditures increased by 24.5% to YTL 144.3<br />

billion as of the end of October 2006 compared<br />

to the same period of 2005. Thus, the<br />

consolidated budget deficit was realized at<br />

YTL 9.4 billion, while the consolidated primary<br />

surplus was YTL 29.4 billion for the January-<br />

October period in 2005.<br />

As of the end of 2006, the ISE-National 100<br />

Index, the main stock market index on the<br />

Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE), decreased by<br />

1.7% in YTL terms and by 6.1% in US$ terms<br />

compared to the values at the end of 2005.<br />

The main stock market indicator ISE National-<br />

100 Index decreased to a level of 39,117.5 in<br />

YTL terms (1,620.6 on US$ basis) at the<br />

end of 2006 from 39,777.7 (1,726.2 on<br />

US$ basis) at the end of 2005. The stock<br />

market total traded value increased to YTL 325<br />

billion by 20.4% on YTL basis and increased to<br />

US$ 229.6 billion by 13.8% in US$ terms as of<br />

the end of 2006 when compared to the end of<br />

2005. The average daily traded value stood at<br />

YTL 1.3 billion (US$ 919 million) at the end of<br />

2006.<br />

The market capitalization of 316 ISE traded<br />

companies increased to a level of YTL 230.1<br />

billion (US$ 163.8 billion) at the end of 2006<br />

compared to YTL 218.3 billion (US$ 162.8<br />

billion) at the end of 2005. Six ETFs (Exchange<br />

Traded Fund) are traded on the ISE as of the<br />

end of 2006.<br />

The net equity investment in Turkey by foreign<br />

portfolio investors has been registered at<br />

around US$ 32.8 billion as of end-November<br />

2006 representing 66.4% of the total custody<br />

balance of the stocks.<br />

The turnover in public debt securities on YTL<br />

basis, transacted on the Outright Purchases<br />

and Sales Market, decreased by 20.6% to<br />

YTL 381.8 billion and in US$ terms by 24.8% to<br />

US$ 270.2 billion in 2006, compared 2005.<br />

The Repo/Reverse Repo Market turnover on<br />

YTL basis increased by 36.5% to YTL 2,538.8<br />

billion and in US$ terms by 27.6% to<br />

US$ 1,770.3 billion in the same period.<br />

The average daily traded value in the Outright<br />

Purchases and Sales Market and the<br />

Repo/Reverse Repo Market stood at YTL 11.6<br />

billion (US$ 8.1 billion) as of the end of 2006.*<br />

* Information provided by Istanbul Stock Exchange<br />

Key Information Contacts<br />

Capital Markets Board of Turkey www.cmb.gov.tr<br />

ISE Settlement and Custody Bank Inc.(Takasbank) www.takasbank.com.tr<br />

Central Registry Agency Inc.of Turkey www.mkk.com.tr<br />

The Association of Capital Market Intermediary Institutions of Turkey www.tspakb.org.tr<br />

The Turkish Derivatives Exchange (Turkdex) www.turkdex.org.tr<br />

PAGE 80

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