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FINLAND & PALESTINE Proceedings of a Joint Workshop

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ReI1ectians on Rnnish-Palestinian I\CU'UV1"'__~~~___ ~~__~~~~~~_______~<br />

time, as terrorist activities inside Israel are a reminder <strong>of</strong> the<br />

political violence <strong>of</strong> the region.<br />

Will there be peace in the region Will the vicious cycle <strong>of</strong> violence<br />

end Will the Palestinian Territories become a fullfledged<br />

independent state one day These are standard questions<br />

most diplomats face upon completing their assignments.<br />

Yet there are no simple answers to these difficult questions.<br />

To me, it appears that both the Israelis and Palestinians are<br />

caught in the "prisoner's dilemma." s Although there are parties<br />

on both sides wishing to have a permanent settlement to the<br />

conflict, the trust needed to build the relations to obtain this<br />

objective seems to be an elusive goal. Each time progress is<br />

made, spoilers on both sides <strong>of</strong> the conflict undo the progress<br />

achieved.<br />

Nonetheless, I do hope that Palestine will one day be an independent<br />

state. In the meantime, Finland will continue to assist<br />

the state-building process, but it is envisaged that, in the course<br />

<strong>of</strong> time, relations between Finland and Palestine will be normalised,<br />

with emphasis on private sector ties, cultural cooperation<br />

and tourism.<br />

3 The prisoner's dilemma constitutes a problem in game theory. In its<br />

classical form, the prisoner's dilemma (UpO") is presented as follows: Two<br />

suspects are arrested by the police. The police have insufficient evidence for<br />

a conviction, and, having separated both prisoners, viSit each <strong>of</strong> them to<br />

<strong>of</strong>fer the same deal. If one testifies (defects from the other) for the<br />

prosecution against the other and the other remains silent (cooperates with<br />

the other), the betrayer goes free and the silent accomplice receives the full<br />

lO-year sentence. If both remain silent, both prisoners are sentenced to only<br />

six months in jail for a minor charge. If each betrays the other, each receives<br />

a five-year sentence. Each prisoner must choose to betray the other or to<br />

remain silent. Each one is assured that the other would not know about the<br />

betrayal before the end <strong>of</strong> the investigation. How should the prisoners act<br />

88

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