Report on the Implementation of the derogation to ... - Trade Websites

Final <strong>Report</strong>
RoO Derogation under the PACP-IEPA
3.4 Projected Production - 2012-2016
Medium-term projections of future production capacity of PNG’s tuna processing plants have been
made by the consultants for 2012-2016 (Table 3.14). The following information and assumptions
underpinned these projections in an attempt to make them as realistic as possible:
• Planned production volumes, anticipated timeframes for construction and scaling up
production, as well as expected products and markets, as communicated by various
company representatives, formed the starting basis for projections.
• These were then revised accordingly to reflect the realities of establishing and operating a
tuna processing facility in PNG. For example, based on the experience to date of PNG’s
existing processors, it is assumed that there is little likelihood of most plants reaching
maximum processing capacity; actual processing capacity could be in the order 40-50%
lower than maximum levels in some instances.
• It is considered unlikely that any of the plants with staged production plans over several
phases will move beyond Phase 1 production within the next five years.
• Following ground-breaking, plant construction could realistically take up to two years.
• Estimates of the annual production volume split between canned tuna and cooked loins (in
both raw material and finished product equivalents), as well as the estimated volume of
exports to the EU was based on information provided by company representatives (see
Appendix 3 for detailed data).
On this basis, by 2016, estimated total daily production could potentially reach around 730 mt/day
(~182,500 mt raw material), should all five new and proposed operations proceed.
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