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Despite the significant breakthroughs in food production and agricultural<br />

science achieved over the last century, we are still far from having enough food<br />

to feed an estimated nine billion people by 2050. The first half of <strong>2011</strong> saw civil<br />

unrest across a number of geographies, and behind these public demonstrations<br />

lay the issue of food security. By supporting farmers across the globe to<br />

increase production yields, the fertilizer industry is able to help meet the rising<br />

demand for food.<br />

Nitrogen<br />

• Global agricultural consumption of nitrogen increased by 3.6% in <strong>2011</strong>, from<br />

103.3 MMT to 106.9 MMT of nutrients. In the medium term, the nitrogen<br />

market is expected to grow by up to 4% per year.<br />

• Throughout the first nine months of <strong>2011</strong>, a combination of strong demand,<br />

low inventories, and healthy soft commodity prices pushed average urea<br />

prices to USD 425/MT (FOB Black Sea) compared to USD 287/MT in 2010<br />

and USD 250/MT in 2009.<br />

• In China, a reduction in the duration of the lower tax export window and the<br />

introduction of a sliding export duty on urea, which in practice meant the<br />

duty increased from 7% to 35-40%, brought a sharp decrease in Chinese<br />

exports, further lifting urea prices.<br />

• Rising coal prices continued to push costs up for Chinese urea producers.<br />

Additionally, more than 2 MMT of capacity was shut down in <strong>2011</strong> due<br />

to environmental and energy concerns.<br />

July<br />

Phosphates<br />

• PhosAgro lists 10.3% of its shares<br />

on the London Stock Exchange.<br />

Potash<br />

• Vale resumes its Rio Colorado potash<br />

project in Argentina. The project aims to<br />

have 2.4 MMT of potash capacity by 2015.<br />

August<br />

Nitrogen<br />

• Petrobras announces plans to help reduce Brazil’s<br />

dependence on nitrogen fertilizer imports.<br />

• Russian businessman Arkady Rotenberg <strong>report</strong>edly<br />

acquires Russia’s Rossosh Mineral Fertilizers.<br />

Phosphates<br />

• Anglo American confirms its decision to retain its<br />

previously-for-sale Copebrás operations in Brazil.<br />

September<br />

M&A<br />

• Petrobras and Vale discuss sales of<br />

nitrogen and potash assets.<br />

• EuroChem announces plans to acquire<br />

fertilizer assets from BASF in Antwerp.<br />

+30%<br />

N consumption<br />

since 2000<br />

+32%<br />

K 2 O consumption<br />

since 2000<br />

December<br />

M&A<br />

• SIBUR sells its Azot and Angarsk facilities to the Siberian Business Union and<br />

a 51% stake in Perm Mineral Fertilizers to UralChem.<br />

• Orascom files for approval to split its construction and fertilizer units.<br />

• PotashCorp seeks to raise its stake in Israel Chemicals Limited from 14% to 25%.<br />

• US independent oil and gas group Apache Corporation announces it will acquire<br />

an interest in Australia’s Burrup. Subsequently, in February 2012, Apache acquired<br />

a 49% interest in Burrup Holdings, while Yara increased its ownership to 51%.<br />

Potash<br />

• The K+S Supervisory Board green-lights the Legacy potash project in Saskatchewan.<br />

November<br />

M&A<br />

• Ameropa acquires control of Romania’s leading fertilizer producer,<br />

Azomures Targu Mures.<br />

Phosphates<br />

• PhosAgro acquires Acron’s 51% stake in its Nordic Rus Holding JV with Yara.<br />

+24%<br />

P 2 O 5 consumption<br />

since 2000<br />

• Reacting to global macroeconomic fears, prices for nitrogen fertilizers<br />

significantly decreased in the fourth quarter and troughed in December<br />

at USD 323/MT for urea (FOB Black Sea) and USD 255/MT for AN<br />

(FOB Black Sea). However, as of January, urea and AN prices had already<br />

climbed back to USD 382/MT and USD 299/MT respectively.<br />

• Natural gas prices rose practically everywhere, in Russia by 15% in rouble<br />

terms to c. USD 3.1/mmBtu, in Ukraine to USD 10.7/mmBtu delivered<br />

to the plant, and for Eastern-European producers prices reached<br />

c. USD 11.5-12/mmBtu. In the US, shale gas flow kept the Henry Hub below<br />

USD 4.00/mmBtu, while spot gas in Europe climbed from USD 6.70/mmBtu<br />

in 2010 to USD 9.5/mmBtu in <strong>2011</strong>. Oil-based formula-priced gas in<br />

Western Europe increased to about USD 15/mmBtu in Q4 <strong>2011</strong>, compared<br />

to USD 10.8/mmBtu in Q1 <strong>2011</strong>.<br />

• Current marginal producers (Ukraine, Eastern Europe) are estimated to break<br />

even at USD 280-300/tonne for urea (FOB Black Sea).<br />

• New capacity in the Middle East, North Africa and other low-cost gas regions<br />

remains a challenge for future supply – demand balance in the sector.<br />

Projected additions of competitive new ammonia supply in 2012 include<br />

Qafco V (Mesaieed, Qatar – 1.5 MMT), Sorfert Algérie (Arzew, Algeria –<br />

1.5 MMT), and MOPCO-Agrium (Damietta, Egypt – 0.8 MMT).<br />

2012<br />

Annual Report and Accounts <strong>2011</strong> EuroChem 19<br />

Business review

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