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achieve: no mitigation effort, no mat<strong>te</strong>r how rigorous and relentless, will prevent clima<strong>te</strong> change fromhappening in the next few decades. Adaptation is unavoidable (IPCC, 2007 II, p. 747).While the first IPCC report dealt mainly with the science, subsequent reports and the li<strong>te</strong>raturedeba<strong>te</strong> around them picked up the issues rela<strong>te</strong>d to the Articles and Principles, namely, equity, cos<strong>te</strong>ffectiveness and economic analysis, sustainable development and (to a lesser ex<strong>te</strong>nt) governance. Theissues around this deba<strong>te</strong> include, first, a difference between neoclassical economists and ecologicaleconomists about the fundamental assumptions for an appropria<strong>te</strong> economic model. From this, therefollow differences about the use of cost-benefit analyses. The second aspect concerns the use of the<strong>te</strong>rm “sustainable development.” This recognises that the current development or business-as-usualmodel is inadequa<strong>te</strong>, but the IPCC reports do not adequa<strong>te</strong>ly face up to the limitations of thesustainability model. Thirdly, there is recognition that the fundamental issues are ethical and thedispu<strong>te</strong>s between the economists, scientists and policy makers are not resolvable without dealing withthe ethical issues (Grubb, 2006).The ethical deba<strong>te</strong> in and around the IPCC is limi<strong>te</strong>d and flawed. It relies on the notion of equity.The policy issues include how to alloca<strong>te</strong> responsibility for the cause, reduction (mitigation) and copingwith the impacts of greenhouse gas emissions (adaptation) between existing nations and current andfuture generations. So the deba<strong>te</strong> considers mat<strong>te</strong>rs like how to use (if at all) the concepts or methods of“pollu<strong>te</strong>r pays,” ability to pay and distributing the benefits. But the problem is that the concept of equityalone is inadequa<strong>te</strong>. We have gone beyond the stage where we have an option of allowing thedeveloping countries the opportunity to use the current business model; India and China now have to beincluded in the calculations for reducing greenhouse gas emissions if we are to avoid dangerous levelsbeing reached (Metz, Berk, Den Elzen, De Vries, & Van Vuuren, 2002; Howell, <strong>2008</strong>). So, developingcountries cannot be trea<strong>te</strong>d fairly. And the notion of equity does not deal with human relationship to theenvironment.If the notion of equity alone is inadequa<strong>te</strong>, what are the options? To answer that question, we needto consider the six major ethical streams or traditions: Aristo<strong>te</strong>lian or Virtue Ethics, Kant, the SocialContract, Utilitarianism, Religious Traditions and what I have called the Ecological Tradition. Before Iget into a more detailed discussion of the ethical options, let me first describe some science, and thendeal with the differences between the economic models. Once I have described and discussed these, Iwant to come back to the UNFCCC Articles and Principles because they have fatally compromised anyat<strong>te</strong>mpt to provide a workable solution to achieving the purpose for which the UNFCCC wasestablished.ScienceIn science, the First Law of Thermodynamics sta<strong>te</strong>s that all mat<strong>te</strong>r and energy in the universe isconstant, that it cannot be crea<strong>te</strong>d or destroyed. The Second Law (entropy law) sta<strong>te</strong>s that mat<strong>te</strong>r andenergy can only be changed in one direction: from usable to unusable, from ordered to disordered. TheEarth is a closed sys<strong>te</strong>m, except for the entry of energy in the form of sunlight. In the Earth’s sys<strong>te</strong>m,what goes into a part of the sys<strong>te</strong>m (for example, a factory or production process) must come out, and itdoes so with its productive po<strong>te</strong>ntial irrevocably diminished. The implication is that the more societyrelies on an increase in ma<strong>te</strong>rial flows to satisfy an increasing demand for production, the grea<strong>te</strong>r willbe the level of pollution and the dis-amenities associa<strong>te</strong>d with it; the grea<strong>te</strong>r will be the demand placedon the assimilative capacity of the biosphere; and, finally, the smaller will be the productive po<strong>te</strong>ntial ofthe biosphere in the future (Georgescu-Roegen, 1975; Ropke, 2005; Underwood & King, 1989).In theory, the capture of solar energy could adequa<strong>te</strong>ly supply energy for abundant life. In practice,this is not the case. Vitousek and others, in 1986, calcula<strong>te</strong>d that 40% of the solar energy conver<strong>te</strong>d byphotosynthesis, available to coun<strong>te</strong>r the entropic effect of the Second Law, is captured by humans(Vitousek, P. Ehrlich, A. Ehrlich, & Matson, 1986). The ecological footprint calculations by Rees (1992)and Wackernagel, Wermer and Goldfinger (2007) indica<strong>te</strong> that this is too high: currently, the Earth’sbiocapacity is exceeded by 23% (Global Footprint Network, 2006).202

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