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Publication Date:<br />

Nov. 2, 2007<br />

Primary Credit Analyst:<br />

Lidia Polakovic,<br />

London,<br />

(44) 20-7176-3985<br />

Secondary Credit Analysts:<br />

Karin Erlander,<br />

London,<br />

(44) 20-7176-3584<br />

Michael Wilkins,<br />

London,<br />

(44) 20-7176-3528<br />

SWEDEN MOVES CLOSER TO PPP MODEL AS ALTERNATIVE<br />

FINANCING FOR INFRASTRUCTURE ASSETS<br />

Sweden is making significant steps in<br />

developing a model for public-private<br />

partnerships (PPPs) to provide an alternative<br />

means of financing public infrastructure. On June<br />

18, 2007, a joint working group commissioned by<br />

the Swedish government--made up of the public<br />

rail authority (Banverket), the public road<br />

authority (Vägverket), and the Swedish National<br />

Road and Transport Research <strong>In</strong>stitute (VTI)-published<br />

a proposal for a Swedish PPP model<br />

and identified a number of potential future<br />

PPP projects.<br />

Recently, the country’s public road and railway<br />

authorities announced the deferral of a substantial<br />

number of state-funded investments. A solution<br />

involving PPP financing could minimize future<br />

delays in necessary infrastructure developments.<br />

For private investors, the existence of a project<br />

pipeline detailing projects in terms of both<br />

number and size is important, given the relatively<br />

high costs associated with PPP bidding. It is also<br />

important for the public sector, to keep<br />

transaction costs low.<br />

For now, however, it is not clear if the PPP<br />

model will be selected and used on a larger scale,<br />

and, if so, how long implementation will take.<br />

Large <strong>In</strong>vestment Needed, But Grants Might<br />

Not Suffice<br />

Currently, transportation infrastructure<br />

investments are funded mainly through the state<br />

budget on a year-by-year basis. State budget<br />

grants for road investments for the 2006-2009<br />

period total about Swedish krona (SEK) 70 billion<br />

(SEK17 billion-SEK18 billion per year), while<br />

earmarked spending on rail for the period comes<br />

to about SEK52 billion (SEK11 billion-SEK14<br />

billion per year) (see table 1).<br />

While the need for investment in infrastructure,<br />

Table 1 - Major Rail Projects <strong>In</strong> State Budget<br />

Project <strong>In</strong>vestment (bil. SEK) Details<br />

Malmö city tunnel 9.5 (4.6 used) <strong>Finance</strong>d by the government, the municipality of<br />

Malmö, the county council of Skåne, and EU<br />

contributions<br />

Hallandsåsen railroad tunnel 7.5 N.A.<br />

Citybanan line in Stockholm 13.7 (1.0 used) SEK4 billion to be financed by Stockholm<br />

municipality and Stockholm county council<br />

Botniabanan railroad in northern Sweden<br />

SEK--Swedish krona. N.A.--Not available.<br />

13.2 (9.5 used) N.A.<br />

STANDARD & POOR’S EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCE YEARBOOK<br />

PROJECT FINANCE/PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS<br />

mainly roads and rail, is evident in certain regions<br />

to develop economic growth, in other areas<br />

investment is needed to alleviate congestion. <strong>In</strong><br />

these cases, the approval of projects via the<br />

budget on a year-by-year basis could prove too<br />

slow to meet increasing demand. <strong>In</strong> addition,<br />

budgeted state contributions for the infrastructure<br />

sector have remained largely unchanged, failing to<br />

reflect cost increases. Recently, both the<br />

Vägverket and the Banverket announced<br />

significant investment reductions due to<br />

insufficient funding. As an example, total<br />

Vägverket investment grants for 2007 amount to<br />

SEK42.5 billion, unchanged from 2004, while<br />

construction costs have increased by 16% since<br />

2004. Consequently, the Vägverket has had to cut<br />

spending on projects by a similar amount.<br />

Although investments can be delayed on a shortterm<br />

basis, the Vägverket is concerned about the<br />

long-term effects on road quality and safety if this<br />

situation continues. The rail sector faces a similar<br />

situation, with capacity shortages in major cities<br />

and traffic disruptions. If investment spending<br />

remains unchanged, investments in infrastructure<br />

are likely to slow further.<br />

The current system, in certain cases, allows<br />

public authorities with access to budget funds to<br />

finance major projects by taking loans from the<br />

national debt office. Total debt issued by the<br />

national debt office to the Vägverket and the<br />

Banverket stood at SEK32.4 billion at year-end<br />

2006. <strong>In</strong> some cases the government (Kingdom of<br />

Sweden; AAA/Stable/A-1+) has guaranteed private<br />

debt, as in the case of the Öresund bridge<br />

between Sweden and Denmark. <strong>In</strong> rare cases,<br />

infrastructure investments are financed by charges<br />

paid by the user (for example the train link<br />

between Stockholm and Arlanda airport and the<br />

Svinesund bridge between Sweden and Norway).<br />

NOVEMBER 2007 ■ 129

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