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Publication Date:<br />

Aug. 10, 2007<br />

Issuer Credit Rating:<br />

A/Watch Neg/A-1<br />

Primary Credit Analyst:<br />

Ana Nogales,<br />

Madrid,<br />

(34) 91-788-7206<br />

Secondary Credit Analyst:<br />

Peter Kernan,<br />

London,<br />

(44) 20-7176-3618<br />

ENDESA S.A.<br />

Rationale<br />

The ratings on Spanish utility Endesa S.A. were<br />

placed on CreditWatch with negative implications<br />

on Sept. 6, 2005, at the start of what has since<br />

been a very long and protracted bidding war for<br />

this company.<br />

On April 11, 2007, Italian utility Enel SpA<br />

(A/Watch Neg/A-1) and Spanish construction<br />

company Acciona S.A. (not rated) announced a<br />

€41.3 per share conditional all-cash joint<br />

takeover bid for the remaining 54% of Endesa’s<br />

that they do not own. This represents an offer<br />

value of nearly €25 billion. Enel has a 25% stake<br />

in Endesa, and Acciona owns 21%. The offer has<br />

received all regulatory approvals and is now<br />

subject only to shareholder approval.<br />

The CreditWatch status reflects the risks and<br />

uncertainties that surround this new bid, as well<br />

as those presented by Endesa’s potential future<br />

strategy and financial structure after the<br />

prospective change of ownership. Furthermore,<br />

Endesa’s business profile will change if the offer is<br />

successful, owing to the asset split agreed between<br />

the new bidders and German utility, E.ON AG<br />

(A/Stable/A-1). The agreement stipulates that<br />

E.ON will receive a portfolio of Endesa assets in<br />

Spain, Turkey, and Poland, as well as Endesa’s<br />

share of Endesa France and Endesa Italia, and<br />

assets in Spain owned by Enel (through Enel-<br />

Viesgo), for a total estimated value of<br />

€10 billion.<br />

The terms and conditions of the bid reflect Enel<br />

and Acciona’s March 26, 2007, agreement. The<br />

offer is conditional upon a minimum acceptance<br />

of 50% of the share capital and the amendment<br />

of some of Endesa’s bylaws, including the removal<br />

voting-right restrictions. Acciona will purchase<br />

about 4% of Endesa’s capital, and Enel will<br />

purchase the rest of the tendered shares; both<br />

companies, however, will have equal<br />

representation on Endesa’s board.<br />

One of the world’s largest electricity utilities,<br />

Endesa has total installed capacity of 47,385 MW<br />

STANDARD & POOR’S EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCE YEARBOOK<br />

UTILITIES<br />

and 22.7 million customers. It has a market share<br />

of about 40% of Spain’s electricity production,<br />

distribution, and supply. This strong domestic<br />

position is one of the main rating supports.<br />

Operations in Spain and Portugal provided about<br />

55% of EBITDA in 2006 and 52% in the first<br />

half of 2007.<br />

Short-term credit factors<br />

The short-term rating is ‘A-1’, reflecting Endesa’s<br />

acceptable liquidity. At June 30, 2007, the<br />

company (excluding subsidiary Enersis S.A.<br />

{BBB/Stable/--}) had €6.2 billion in undrawn,<br />

committed facilities, and about €0.3 billion in<br />

cash and equivalents, which together cover the<br />

final dividend paid against 2006 earnings on July<br />

2, 2007, and debt maturing over the next<br />

23 months.<br />

At the same date, Enersis had €0.5 billion in<br />

undrawn, committed facilities, and about €0.5<br />

billion in cash, together covering debt maturing at<br />

Enersis over the next 19 months. Endesa’s debt<br />

maturity schedule is manageable, and the average<br />

life of the debt is 5.3 years.<br />

According to Endesa, there are no cross-default<br />

clauses for the debt at Enersis or any of its<br />

subsidiaries, and these entities are financed on a<br />

nonrecourse basis.<br />

Endesa generated funds from operations of<br />

about €4.6 billion in 2006. This strong<br />

performance should continue, mitigating the<br />

financial-flexibility constraints arising from the<br />

utility’s large capital-expenditure plan and<br />

generous dividend policy. Endesa is committed to<br />

paying out 100% of capital gains on asset<br />

disposals and increasing ordinary dividends by at<br />

least 12% annually. This will result in the<br />

payment of €9.9 billion in dividends over 2005-<br />

2009, of which €4.4 billion has already been<br />

paid. A change in financial, investment, and<br />

dividend policies may result, however, from the<br />

prospective change in control. ■<br />

NOVEMBER 2007 ■ 41

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