Jos_von_Asmuth_Thesis.pdf - repository

^=Åçåíáåìçìë=åçáëÉ=ãçÇÉä=qÜÉ=é~ê~ãÉíÉê=ëÉí= Ψ =çÑ=íÜÉ=ÅçãÄáåÉÇ=ãçÇÉä=áë=áåíÉÖê~ääó=Éëíáã~íÉÇ=ìëáåÖ=~=åìãÉêáÅ~ääó=ÇÉêáîÉÇ=g~ÅçÄá~å=ã~íêáñ=~åÇ=íÜÉ=ãÉíÜçÇë=ÇÉëÅêáÄÉÇ=áå=íÜÉ=éêÉîáçìë=ëÉÅíáçåK=^ë= d =áë=Éäáãáå~íÉÇ=Ñêçã=íÜÉ=Éèì~íáçåëI=íÜÉ=é~ê~ãÉíÉêë=íÜ~í=Ü~îÉ=íç=ÄÉ=Éëíáã~íÉÇ=~êÉ=table 4.1: Calibration results, estimated parameters andcharacteristics for piezometer 32cl0034.máÉòçãÉíÉê=2R =ojpb=ojpf=A ====EHLJ=OσF=POÅäMMPQ=MKSSR=NNIM=Åã=PIS=Åã=SNKS==EHLJ=QKOF=Ç~ó=A, b,n =Ñêçã=íÜÉ=íê~åëÑÉê=ãçÇÉäI= b =====EHLJ=OσF=MKOU==EHLJ=MKMOF=Ç~ó JN=~äçåÖ=ïáíÜ=α =Ñêçã=íÜÉ=åçáëÉ= n =====EHLJ=OσF=NKUU==EHLJ=MKMSF=ãçÇÉäK=cçê=íÜáë=éìêéçëÉI=~ää= α =====EHLJ=OσF= NUKO==EHLJ=PKOF=Ç~ó JN =~î~áä~ÄäÉ=çÄëÉêî~íáçåë=áå=íÜÉ= =éÉêáçÇ=ïÉêÉ=ìëÉÇK=qÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=çÑ=íÜÉ=qck=ãçÇÉä=~êÉ=ÖáîÉå=áå=ÑáÖìêÉ=QKRI=~ë=íáãÉ=éäçíë=çÑ=íÜÉ=çÄëÉêî~íáçåë=~åÇ=éêÉÇáÅíáçåëI=~åÇ=çÑ=íÜÉ=êÉëáÇì~äë=~åÇ=áååçî~íáçåëK=qÜÉ=2é~ê~ãÉíÉê=Éëíáã~íÉë=~åÇ=Å~äáÄê~íáçå=êÉëìäíë=EÅçÉÑÑáÅáÉåí=çÑ=ÇÉíÉêãáå~íáçå=E R FI=êççí=ãÉ~å=ëèì~êÉÇ=Éêêçê=EojpbFI=êççí=ãÉ~å=ëèì~êÉÇ=áååçî~íáçå=EojpfFF=~êÉ=äáëíÉÇ=áå=í~ÄäÉ=QKNK=qÜÉ=~ìíçÅçêêÉä~íáçå=ÑìåÅíáçå=çÑ=íÜÉ=áååçî~íáçåëI=Ñçê=ïÜáÅÜ=~=íáãÉ=ä~Ö=áåÅêÉãÉåí=çÑ=çåÉ=ãçåíÜ=áë=ÅÜçëÉå=áå=çêÇÉê=íç=êÉîÉ~ä=ëÉ~ëçå~ä=é~ííÉêåë=áå=íÜÉ=~ìíçÅçêêÉä~íáçåI=áåÇáÅ~íÉë=íÜ~í=íÜÉ=ïÜáíÉ=åçáëÉ=~ëëìãéíáçå=ÜçäÇë=EÑáÖìêÉ=QKSFK=_ÉÅ~ìëÉ=çÑ=íÜÉ=ä~êÖÉ=åìãÄÉê=çÑ=~î~áä~ÄäÉ=çÄëÉêî~íáçåëI=íÜÉ=~ìíçÅçêêÉä~íáçå=ÑìåÅíáçå=áë=ê~íÜÉê=ëãççíÜ=~åÇ=íÜÉ=~ÅÅçãé~åóáåÖ=ÅçåÑáÇÉåÅÉ=áåíÉêî~ä=å~êêçïK====NMR=4.3.2 Comparison of the likelihood function and the SWSI criterionmäçíë=çÑ=ÄçíÜ=ÑìåÅíáçåë=ïÉêÉ=ã~ÇÉ=Äó=î~êóáåÖ=íïç=çÑ=íÜÉ=é~ê~ãÉíÉêë=~êçìåÇ=íÜÉáê=Éëíáã~íÉÇ=î~äìÉI=ïÜáäÉ=âÉÉéáåÖ=íÜÉ=çíÜÉêë=Åçåëí~åí=EÅÉíÉêáë=é~êáÄìëFK=qÜÉ=é~ê~ãÉíÉêë=ïÉêÉ=î~êáÉÇ=HLJ=MKR=Ü~äÑ=íÜÉáê=Éëíáã~íÉÇ=î~äìÉK=få=çêÇÉê=íç=ã~âÉ=ÄçíÜ=ÑìåÅíáçåë=Åçãé~ê~ÄäÉI=íÜÉó=ïÉêÉ=åçêã~äáòÉÇ=Äó=êÉëéÉÅíáîÉäó=ëÉííáåÖ=íÜÉáê=ã~ñáãìã=~åÇ=ãáåáãìã=íç=òÉêçI=~åÇ=ÇáîáÇáåÖ=íÜÉ=êÉëìäí=Äó=íÜÉ=ê~åÖÉK=få=ÑáÖìêÉ=QKTI=~=Åçåíçìê=éäçí=çÑ=íÜÉ=åçêã~äáòÉÇ=äçÖ=äáâÉäáÜççÇ=ÑìåÅíáçå=~åÇ=ptpf=ÅêáíÉêáçå=Ñçê=íÜÉ=Ñáêëí=íïç=é~ê~ãÉíÉêë=çÑ=íÜÉ=íê~åëÑÉê=ãçÇÉä=E A =~åÇ= b F=áë=ÖáîÉåK=qÜÉ=ÑáÖìêÉ=ëÜçïë=íÜ~í=íÜÉ=Åçåíçìêë=çÑ=ÄçíÜ=çÄàÉÅíáîÉ=ÑìåÅíáçåë=~êÉ=~äãçëí=áÇÉåíáÅ~äI=ïÜáÅÜ=ÅçåÑáêãë=íÜ~í=íÜÉ=ptpf=ÅêáíÉêáçå=óáÉäÇë=~äãçëí=Éñ~Åí=ji=Éëíáã~íÉëK=qÜáë=Å~å=ÄÉ=ÉñéÉÅíÉÇI=~ë=íÜÉ=çåäó=ÇáÑÑÉêÉåÅÉ=ÄÉíïÉÉå=íÜÉ==0.2correlation coefficient (−)0.150.10.050−0.05−0.10 5 10 15 20 25time step (months)=figure 4.6: Autocorrelation function of the innovations of the OUB model. The dotted lines denote the95% confidence interval. The autocorrelation function indicates that the white noise assumptionholds.KKÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁKÁK