Jos_von_Asmuth_Thesis.pdf - repository

ëáåÖ=Åçåíáåìçìë=êÉëéçåëÉ=ÑìåÅíáçåë=mfocf`q=ãçÇÉä=Ñçääçïë=íÜÉ=êÉëéçåëÉ=çÑ=íÜÉ=xNM=N=M=N=MzxPMKQz=^oj^=ãçÇÉä=ê~íÜÉê=ÅäçëÉäóK=qÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=çÑ=ÄçíÜ=ãçÇÉäë=ëÜçìäÇ=íÜÉêÉÑçêÉ=ÄÉ=ÜáÖÜäó=Åçãé~ê~ÄäÉI=~ë=íÜÉ=çåäó=ÇáÑÑÉêÉåÅÉ=áå=íÜÉ=íê~åëÑÉê=ÑìåÅíáçåë=áë=íÜÉ=áêêÉÖìä~ê=é~ííÉêå=çÑ=íÜÉ=^oj^=ãçÇÉä=~êçìåÇ=íÜÉ=ëãççíÜ=ÅìêîÉ=çÑ=íÜÉ=mfocf`q=ãçÇÉäK=få=ÑáÖìêÉ=PKRÅ=íÜÉ=çêÇÉê=çÑ=íÜÉ=^oj^=ãçÇÉäI=áå=íÜÉ=íê~Çáíáçå~ä=ëÉåëÉI=áë=âÉéí=Åçåëí~åí=ïÜáäÉ=íÜÉ=ë~ãéäÉ=ÑêÉèìÉåÅó=áë=î~êáÉÇI=êÉëìäíáåÖ=áå=íÜêÉÉ=[10 1 0 1 0][ ∆t]^oj^=ãçÇÉäë=ïáíÜ= ∆ t = =NRKOI=PMKQ=~åÇ=SMKUK=^ë=ÉñéÉÅíÉÇI=íÜÉ=é~ê~ãÉíÉê=Éëíáã~íÉë=çÑ=íÜÉ=^oj^=ãçÇÉä=éêçîÉ=íç=ÄÉ=~äëç=ëáÖåáÑáÅ~åíäó=áåÑäìÉåÅÉÇ=Äó=íÜÉ=ë~ãéäÉ=ÑêÉèìÉåÅóI=ïÜáÅÜ=áåíÉêÑÉêÉë=ïáíÜ=íÜÉ=ãçÇÉä=çêÇÉê=ïÜÉå=íáãÉ=áë=ìëÉÇ=~ë=~=ÇáãÉåëáçåäÉëë=áåÇÉñK=cáå~ääóI=áå=ÑáÖìêÉ=PKRÇI=íÜÉ=_o=ÑìåÅíáçåë=çÑ=íÜêÉÉ=mfocf`q=ãçÇÉäë=~êÉ=éäçííÉÇI=Å~äáÄê~íÉÇ=çå=íÜÉ=ë~ãÉ=Ç~í~=~ë=íÜÉ=^oj^=ãçÇÉä=EáKÉK=∆ t = NRKOI=PMKQ=~åÇ=SMKUFK=cêçã=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíëI=íÜÉ=Ñáêëí=íïç=_o=ÑìåÅíáçåë=éêçîÉ=íç=ÄÉ=~äãçëí=áÇÉåíáÅ~äI=ïÜáäÉ=íÜÉ=ãçÇÉä=~éé~êÉåíäó=Ü~ë=ÇáÑÑáÅìäíáÉë=Éëíáã~íáåÖ=íÜÉ=Ñáêëí=é~êí=çÑ=íÜÉ=_o=ÑìåÅíáçå=ÅçêêÉÅíäó=Ñçê= ∆ t = =SMKUI=~äíÜçìÖÜ=áí=ÇçÉë=åçí=ÇáÑÑÉê=ëáÖåáÑáÅ~åíäóK=qÜáë=ÉÑÑÉÅí=áë=éêçÄ~Ääó=Å~ìëÉÇ=Äó=íÜÉ=áåÅêÉ~ëáåÖ=íáãÉ=áåíÉêî~ä=~åÇLçê=ÇÉÅêÉ~ëáåÖ=åìãÄÉê=çÑ=çÄëÉêî~íáçåëI=~ë=íÜÉ=^oj^=xSMKUz=ãçÇÉä=Éëíáã~íÉë=íÜÉ=íê~åëÑÉê=ÑìåÅíáçå=áå=~Äçìí=íÜÉ=ë~ãÉ=ï~óK==== UR=3.3.3 Multiple series and validation studycçê=~=Äêç~ÇÉê=Åçãé~êáëçå=ÄÉíïÉÉå=íÜÉ=^oj^=~åÇ=mfocf`q=qck=ãçÇÉäI=ÄçíÜ=ãçÇÉäë=~êÉ=Å~äáÄê~íÉÇ=çå=íáãÉ=ëÉêáÉë=Ñêçã=NR=éáÉòçãÉíÉêë=ïáíÜ=çÄëÉêî~íáçåë=ê~åÖáåÖ=Ñêçã=NJNJNVVM=ìåíáä=NJNJOMMNK=cçê=êÉ~ëçåë=çÑ=Åçãé~ê~Äáäáíó=~åÇ=çÄàÉÅíáîáíóI=åç=_çñ=~åÇ=gÉåâáåë=ëíóäÉ=áíÉê~íáîÉ=ãçÇÉä=áÇÉåíáÑáÅ~íáçå=éêçÅÉÇìêÉ=áë=éÉêÑçêãÉÇ=Ñçê=É~ÅÜ=ëÉé~ê~íÉ=5.85.65.4PIRFICT modelBJ modelObservationsgroundwater level (m)5.254.84.64.44.241976 1979 1982 1984 1987 1990 1993 1995 1998 2001time (date)=figure 3.6: Simulations from a [10 1 0 1 0][30.4] ARMA model and a [30.4 30.4] PIRFICT modelcalibrated on observations of the water table depth of piezometer 19AZW246_1 between 1990 and2001. From the figure it can be seen that the simulation results in both the calibration and validationperiod are similar.KKÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁKÁK