Jos_von_Asmuth_Thesis.pdf - repository

`Ü~éíÉê=P=2.52figure a)nb=5nb=10nb=202.52figure b)Box−JenkinsPIRFICTresponse (−)1.51response (−)1.510.50.5UQ=00 200 400 600 800 1000time (in days)00 200 400 600 800 1000time (in days)2.52figure c)th=tp=15.2th=tp=30.4th=tp=60.82.52figure d)th=tp=15.2th=tp=30.4th=tp=60.8response (−)1.51response (−)1.510.50.500 200 400 600 800 1000time (in days)00 200 400 600 800 1000time (in days)=figure 3.5: BR functions of several TFN models of piezometer 19AZW246_1. a) Three [nr 1 0 1 0][30.4] ARMA models with nr = 5, 10 and 20. b) An [10 1 0 1 0][30.4] ARMA model and a PIRFICTmodel using the same data. c) three [10 1 0 1 0][ ∆ t ] ARMA models with ∆ t = 15.2, 30.4 and 60.8.d) Three PIRFICT models with h p∆ t = ∆ t = 15.2, 30.4 and 60.8. The dotted lines denote the 95%confidence interval of the nb = 5 model in a), both models in b), and the∆ t = 30.4 model in c) and d).åìãÄÉê=çÑ=é~ê~ãÉíÉêë=çÑ=~å=^oj^=ãçÇÉäI=ÅçìäÇ=~äëç=Éñéä~áå=íÜÉ=Ñ~Åí=íÜ~í=íÜÉ=ojpf=çÑ=íÜÉ=^oj^=qck=ãçÇÉä=áë=äçïÉê=íÜ~å=íÜ~í=çÑ=íÜÉ=mfocf`q=ãçÇÉäI=ïÜáäÉ=áíë=ojpb=áë=ÜáÖÜÉêK==qÜÉ=é~ê~ãÉíÉê=Éëíáã~íÉë=çÑ=íÜÉ=ÇáÑÑÉêÉåí=ãçÇÉäë=Å~å=ÄÉëí=ÄÉ=Åçãé~êÉÇ=Äó=éäçííáåÖ=íÜÉ=Éëíáã~íÉÇ=_o=ÑìåÅíáçåëK=få=ÑáÖìêÉ=PKRI=íÜÉ=íê~åëÑÉê=ÑìåÅíáçåë=çÑ=íÜêÉÉ=x nr =N=M=N=MzxPMKQz=^oj^=ãçÇÉäë=~êÉ=éäçííÉÇI=ïáíÜ= nr = 5 I=NM=~åÇ=OMK=qÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=~ééÉ~ê=íç=ÄÉ=ëáÖåáÑáÅ~åíäó=áåÑäìÉåÅÉÇ=Äó=íÜÉ=ãçÇÉä=çêÇÉêI=~ë=íÜÉ=íê~åëÑÉê=ÑìåÅíáçåë=çÑ=íÜÉ= nr = 10 =~åÇ=OM=ãçÇÉä=äáÉ=é~êíäó=çìíëáÇÉ=íÜÉ=ÅçåÑáÇÉåÅÉ=áåíÉêî~ä=çÑ=íÜ~í=çÑ=íÜÉ= nr = 5 =ãçÇÉäK=qÜÉ=åìãÄÉê=çÑ=j^=é~ê~ãÉíÉêë=Ñçê=íÜÉ=Å~ëÉ= nr = 5 =áë=~éé~êÉåíäó=íçç=äçï=íç=ãçÇÉä=íÜÉ=ëäçï=êÉëéçåëÉ=çÑ=íÜÉ=ëóëíÉã=ïÉääK=^ÅÅçêÇáåÖ=íç=íÜáë=ÑáÖìêÉ=~åÇ=íÜÉ=ojpbI=áå=íÜáë=Å~ëÉ=NM=j^=é~ê~ãÉíÉêë=àìëí=~Äçìí=ëìÑÑáÅÉ=íç=ãçÇÉä=íÜÉ=Ñáêëí=é~êí=çÑ=íÜÉ=êÉëéçåëÉ=çÑ=íÜÉ=ëóëíÉãI=ïÜáäÉ=íÜÉ=êÉã~áåÇÉê=çÑ=íÜÉ=êÉëéçåëÉ=ÑìåÅíáçå=Å~å=ÄÉ=ÇÉëÅêáÄÉÇ=~ÇÉèì~íÉäó=Äó=~=ëáåÖäÉ=^o=é~ê~ãÉíÉêK=cêçã=ÑáÖìêÉ=PKRÄ=áí=Å~å=ÄÉ=ëÉÉå=íÜ~í=íÜÉ=êÉëéçåëÉ=çÑ=íÜÉ=..…………………………………………………………………………………………….….