Jos_von_Asmuth_Thesis.pdf - repository

ëáåÖ=Åçåíáåìçìë=êÉëéçåëÉ=ÑìåÅíáçåë=table 3.1: Calibration results for ARMA TFN models of different order and PIRFICT modelscalibrated on the same data (piezometer 19AZW246_1).= ^oj^=qck=ãçÇÉäë== =[ nr, ns, np, nq, b][ ∆ t = ∆ t ] =hp=xR=N=M=N=Mz= =xNM=N=M=N=Mz=xPMKQz= xPMKQz==xOM=N=M=N=Mz=xPMKQz=xOM=N=M=N=Mz=xNRKOz==xR=N=M=N=Mz=xSMKUz=ojpb=EÅãF= NTKUO= NSKPV= NTKMU= NSKRU= NTKPP=ojpf=EÅãF= UKSN= UKQO= UKMS= TKMQ= NMKQN=bsm=EBF= UOKPR= URKMU= UPKTV= UQKUP= UPKRV== mfocf`q=ãçÇÉä= ==== UP=ojpb=EÅãF= = NSKOR= = NSKQN= NTKQP=ojpf=EÅãF= = VKMP= = TKOT= NMKRO=bsm=EBF= = URKPO= = URKNQ= UPKPV==íÜÉ=êÉëáÇì~ä=ëÉêáÉë=Å~å=ÄÉ=áåÑäìÉåÅÉÇ=Äó=áåíÉêéçä~íáçå=~åÇ=êÉë~ãéäáåÖ=çéÉê~íáçåëI=~äëç=íÜÉ=Éñéä~áåÉÇ=î~êá~åÅÉ=éÉêÅÉåí~ÖÉ=EbsmF=áë=ÖáîÉåK=qÜÉ=bsm=áë=ÇÉÑáåÉÇ=~ëW==2 2σh( t) −σn( t)EVP = *100%(3.22)2σh( t)=^=äçÖáÅ~ä=ï~ó=çÑ=Åçãé~êáåÖ=ãçÇÉä=êÉëìäíë=ëÉÉãë=íç=ÄÉ=íÜÉ=ìëÉ=çÑ=~ìíçã~íáÅ=ãçÇÉä=çêÇÉê=ëÉäÉÅíáçå=ÅêáíÉêá~=ëìÅÜ=~ë=^f`=~åÇ=cmbK=eçïÉîÉêI=ÄçíÜ=ÅêáíÉêá~=ìëÉ=íÜÉ=áååçî~íáçå=î~êá~åÅÉ=çê=íÜÉáê=äáâÉäáÜççÇ=Ñçê=ÇÉíÉêãáåáåÖ=íÜÉ=ÄÉëí=ãçÇÉä=çêÇÉêI=ïÜáÅÜ=~êÉ=áåÑäìÉåÅÉÇ=Äó=íÜÉ=ë~ãéäÉ=ÑêÉèìÉåÅóI=ëç=íÜÉëÉ=ÅêáíÉêá~=Å~ååçí=ÄÉ=ìëÉÇ=íç=Åçãé~êÉ=ãçÇÉäë=ïáíÜ=ÇáÑÑÉêÉåí=ë~ãéäÉ=ÑêÉèìÉåÅáÉë=çê=Ç~í~=ëÉíëK=cêçã=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=áå=í~ÄäÉ=PKN=áí=Å~å=Ñáêëí=çÑ=~ää=ÄÉ=ëÉÉå=íÜ~í=íÜÉ=ÇáÑÑÉêÉåÅÉë=ÄÉíïÉÉå=íÜÉ=Ñáí=çÑ=ÄçíÜ=ãçÇÉäë=~êÉ=ëã~ääK=^äíÜçìÖÜ=íÜÉ=mfocf`q=ãçÇÉä=ÇçÉë=ëÜçï=íÜÉ=äçïÉëí=ojpb=~åÇ=ÜáÖÜÉëí=bsmI=íÜÉ=î~êá~íáçå=Å~ìëÉÇ=Äó=ÇáÑÑÉêÉåÅÉë=áå=çÄëÉêî~íáçå=ÑêÉèìÉåÅó=~åÇ=ãçÇÉä=çêÇÉê=áë=ä~êÖÉê==íÜ~å=íÜÉ=ÇáÑÑÉêÉåÅÉë=ÄÉíïÉÉå=ÄçíÜ=ãçÇÉä=íóéÉëK=qÜÉ=çéíáã~ä=êÉëìäí=Ñçê=íÜÉ=^oj^=ãçÇÉä=~ééÉ~êë=íç=ÄÉ=ÖáîÉå=Äó=íÜÉ=xNM=N=M=N=Mz=xPMKQz=ãçÇÉäI=ëç=ïÉ=Å~å=áÇÉåíáÑó=íÜáë=Ñçê=íÜÉ=ãçãÉåí=~ë=íÜÉ=çéíáã~ä=ãçÇÉä=çêÇÉêK=^ë=ÉñéÉÅíÉÇI=íÜÉ=ojpf=çÑ=ÄçíÜ=ãçÇÉäë=î~êáÉë=ïáíÜ=íÜÉ=íáãÉ=ä~Ö=ÄÉíïÉÉå=íÜÉ=çÄëÉêî~íáçåë=çÑ=íÜÉ=çìíéìí=ëÉêáÉëK=tÜÉå= ∆ t = =NRKOI=íÜÉ=ojpf=äáÉë=áå=íÜÉ=çêÇÉê=çÑ=T=íç=U=ÅãI=ïÜÉêÉ~ë=íÜÉ=ojpf=áë=V=íç=NM=Åã=ïÜÉå= ∆ t h= =SMKUK=cìêíÜÉêãçêÉI=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=ëÜçï=íÜ~í=íÜÉ=ojpf=çÑ=íÜÉ=^oj^=qck=ãçÇÉä=ÇÉÅêÉ~ëÉë=ïÜÉå=íÜÉ=åìãÄÉê=çÑ=é~ê~ãÉíÉêë=áåÅêÉ~ëÉëI=ïÜáäÉ=íÜÉ=ojpb=ëÜçïë=~å=çéíáãìã=Ñçê=íÜÉ=xNM=N=M=N=Mz=ãçÇÉä=Ñçê= ∆ t h= =PMKQK=qÜáë=éÜÉåçãÉåçå=ÅçìäÇ=ïÉää=ÄÉ=~ííêáÄìíÉÇ=íç=íÜÉ=Ñ~Åí=íÜ~í=íÜÉ=ãçÇÉäë=~êÉ=Å~äáÄê~íÉÇ=Äó=ãáåáãáòáåÖ=íÜÉ=ojpf=EïÜáÅÜ=áë=äáåâÉÇ=íç=íÜÉ=åçáëÉ=é~êí=çÑ=íÜÉ=ãçÇÉäF=ê~íÜÉê=íÜ~å=íÜÉ=ojpb=EïÜáÅÜ=áë=äáåâÉÇ=íç=íÜÉ=íê~åëÑÉê=ãçÇÉäFK=_ÉÅ~ìëÉ=çÑ=íÜáëI=~ÇÇáåÖ=Éñíê~=é~ê~ãÉíÉêë=~åÇ=íÜÉêÉÄó=çîÉêÑáííáåÖ=íÜÉ=Ç~í~=ïáää=êÉëìäí=áå=~=Öê~Çì~ääó=áãéêçîáåÖ=Ñáí=çÑ=íÜÉ=åçáëÉ=ãçÇÉäI=Äìí=Å~å=~í=íÜÉ=ë~ãÉ=Ü~îÉ=~=åÉÖ~íáîÉ=ÉÑÑÉÅí=çå=íÜÉ=Ñáí=çÑ=íÜÉ=íê~åëÑÉê=ãçÇÉäK=lîÉêÑáííáåÖ=ÄÉÜ~îáçêI=çê=íÜÉ=ÖÉåÉê~ääó=ÜáÖÜÉê=hKKÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁKÁK