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7 FINDINGS<br />

Risk Return Analysis<br />

Investments can be made in Ashok Leyland stock, ICICI stock, ITC company stocks, TCS<br />

stock, Indian Oil Corporation stock and in Airtel stock as the risk is low and there is an average<br />

return<br />

Regression Analysis<br />

<strong>The</strong> change in Inflation rate affects the stock price <strong>of</strong> Axis bank, HDFC bank, Dabur, Nestle,<br />

TCS, Tech Mahindra, Bharat petroleum, Hindustan petroleum and Airtel.<br />

<strong>The</strong> change in forex rate affects the stock price <strong>of</strong> Reliance, Idea, Airtel, Indian Oil<br />

corporation, Oil and Natural Gas, TCS and Dabur.<br />

<strong>The</strong> change in the budget affects the stock price <strong>of</strong> Wipro, Oil and natural gas.<br />

Trend Analysis<br />

<strong>The</strong> performance <strong>of</strong> the each sector for last 3 years are analyzed and forecasted for next 2<br />

years. From the analysis it is interpreted that the performance <strong>of</strong> Banking sector will be good and the<br />

Telecommunication sector will be the low performing sector.<br />

8 RECOMMENDATIONS<br />

To investors<br />

<strong>The</strong> macroeconomic factors have considerable impact on the share price movements and hence<br />

the investors can consider the change in macroeconomic factor before making the investment.<br />

<strong>The</strong> investor should have knowledge <strong>of</strong> exchanging the stocks during the change in<br />

macroeconomic factor.<br />

Banking sector is high performing sector which investors can invest in future.<br />

To management<br />

<strong>The</strong> management can give awareness regarding the consequences <strong>of</strong> the effect on the stock<br />

price fluctuation to the investors before investing.<br />

<strong>The</strong> management can give Seminars, presentations to the regular investors about the cautious<br />

method taken when there is a change in macroeconomic factor.<br />

Book references<br />

9.REFERENCES<br />

1. S.Kevin,”Security Analysis and Portfolio Management”, Prentice Hall publication.<br />

2. Punithavathy Pandian,”Security Analysis and Portfolio Management”, Vikas Publishing<br />

House<br />

Article references<br />

Mazharul H. Kazi (2008) 1 ,”Stock Market Price Movements and Macroeconomic Variables”,<br />

Vol. 4 No.3 June 2008 Pp.114-126<br />

Ramin Cooper Maysami, Lee Chuin Howe(2007), “Relationship between Macroeconomic<br />

Variables and Stock Market Indices: Cointegration Evidence from stock Exchange <strong>of</strong><br />

Singapore’s All-S Sector Indices”, Jurnal Pengurusan 24(2007)<br />

Tarika Singh, Seema Mehta, M.S.Varsha(2011), “Macroeconomic factors and stock returns:<br />

Evidence from Taiwan”, Vol. 2(4), pp.217-227<br />

Tarika Singh, Seema Mehta, M.S.Varsha(2011), “Macroeconomic factors and stock returns:<br />

Evidence from Taiwan”, Vol. 2(4), pp.217-227<br />

Sulaiman D. Mohammad, Adnan Hussain, (2009) “Impact <strong>of</strong> Macroeconomics Variables on<br />

Stock Prices: Emperical Evidance in Case <strong>of</strong> Kse”, European <strong>Journal</strong> <strong>of</strong> Scientific <strong>Research</strong>,<br />

Vol.38 No.1, pp.96-103<br />

www.theinternationaljournal.org > <strong>RJEBS</strong>: Volume: 02, Number: 09, July-2013 Page 44

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