International construction market survey 2016
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Analysis<br />
Margins<br />
Squeezed margins are a growing problem in the global<br />
<strong>construction</strong> industry, especially where there is a high<br />
level of competition between consultants, contractors<br />
and developers. However, with ongoing trade labour<br />
shortages, costs keep increasing and this has seen<br />
margins fall to very low levels.<br />
Average global <strong>construction</strong> project margins fell from an<br />
already low 6.3 percent in 2015 to 6.1 percent in <strong>2016</strong>,<br />
and in nearly half of the regions <strong>survey</strong>ed margins were<br />
between five and six percent. See figure 8.<br />
Seoul and Northern Ireland continue to suffer the<br />
lowest margins in the world, with three and<br />
3.5 percent respectively.<br />
Margins remain stronger in regions with lower levels of<br />
project risk and less competition, but even in these areas<br />
margins still remain lower than in previous years. Some<br />
of the <strong>market</strong>s that continue to enjoy high margins include<br />
Doha, Johannesburg, Kuala Lumpur and São Paulo, all<br />
<strong>market</strong>s in which margin rates are at ten percent or higher.<br />
Wages<br />
Labour costs include basic hourly wages, allowances,<br />
taxes, annual leave costs, and, where paid by the<br />
employer, workers’ compensation and health insurance,<br />
pensions and travel costs and fares. They exclude<br />
overheads, margins, overtime and bonuses.<br />
In figure 9, Zurich’s average <strong>construction</strong> labour costs<br />
lead the world, with wages reported at a slightly higher<br />
level than New York City and well ahead of two of the<br />
other USA regions, San Francisco and Seattle, which<br />
place third and fourth. The four Australian cities in our<br />
<strong>survey</strong>, Brisbane, Melbourne, Perth and Sydney are next<br />
highest, followed by Houston and then London. A high<br />
degree of regional variation persists in the USA and the<br />
UK, with labour in second-tier cities often much cheaper<br />
than in major cities.<br />
In New York City, continuing higher wages are explained<br />
by the scale and type of labour required for <strong>construction</strong><br />
projects. The city is experiencing high work levels,<br />
creating strong demand for <strong>construction</strong> labour, which in<br />
itself is a powerful driver of wage increases. This combined<br />
with the high proportion of union labour employed in<br />
New York City – to which greater levels of benefits are<br />
paid – has contributed to the persistence of a high wage<br />
economy in the <strong>construction</strong> sector.<br />
The results of the wages section of this year’s <strong>survey</strong><br />
clearly demonstrate the trend that sees the Australian,<br />
North American and Western European <strong>market</strong>s lead the<br />
world in terms of high labour costs. Developing African and<br />
Asian <strong>market</strong>s boast the lowest wage levels internationally,<br />
while <strong>market</strong>s in the Middle East and South America<br />
typically lie somewhere between those two extremes.<br />
However, these labour costs do not take into account<br />
the varying degrees of labour productivity found in<br />
different regions. After accounting for the worldwide<br />
productivity variances, labour cost discrepancies<br />
become finer.<br />
Countries with higher input costs are introducing various<br />
methods to increase productivity including BIM and other<br />
technology, as well as techniques such as modularisation.<br />
Further developments in this direction will continue to<br />
reduce the unit cost of <strong>construction</strong> and counter inflation<br />
pressures in such <strong>market</strong>s.<br />
Labour skills shortages<br />
Skills shortages are common in many of the <strong>market</strong>s<br />
<strong>survey</strong>ed. For the majority of cases, trades are difficult<br />
to get for specific projects in a reasonable time period,<br />
which causes cost increases and delays. Only four cases<br />
– Beijing, São Paulo, Perth and Santiago – had surplus<br />
labour due to those <strong>market</strong>s entering a downturn. The<br />
majority of <strong>market</strong>s reported that skills were in balance,<br />
indicating that obtaining the trade skills needed was<br />
unlikely to adversely affect project costs or schedules.<br />
Even in lukewarm <strong>market</strong>s, trade skills shortages was<br />
still an issue, often indicating a perpetual problem of too<br />
few subcontractors in the <strong>market</strong>. See figure 10.<br />
18<br />
Turner & Townsend