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International construction market survey 2016

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Around the globe<br />

UK – London<br />

London remains a forerunner, despite strained supply chain<br />

Economic overview<br />

Despite healthy GDP growth, increasing by 2.3 percent<br />

over 2015, the UK’s economic outlook is uncertain due<br />

to the referendum on whether the country will remain<br />

part of the EU. UK investment growth now looks to be<br />

weakening, and <strong>construction</strong> output slowed a little towards<br />

the end of 2015.<br />

Construction <strong>market</strong> and trends<br />

London continues to lead the UK <strong>construction</strong> sector, and<br />

has been responsible for much of the recent tender price<br />

inflation. Annualised output growth in the capital, as of<br />

the fourth quarter of 2015, is now 45.2 percent higher<br />

than levels seen in 2008.<br />

being selective in the projects they choose as demand<br />

outstrips supply and clients are finding it increasingly<br />

difficult to get commitment to bid in competition.<br />

Future outlook<br />

There is emerging evidence the residential demand that<br />

is fuelling escalation of <strong>construction</strong> prices could peak<br />

in <strong>2016</strong>. Tender pricing will remain volatile for the next<br />

18 months and will outperform UK general inflation levels,<br />

with tender price inflation expected to run at 4.9 percent<br />

in <strong>2016</strong>, compared with 5.1 percent in 2015. London will<br />

continue to be the dominant driving force of tender price<br />

inflation in the UK.<br />

For now, the capital remains overheated, with a strong<br />

demand for major projects and a lack of capacity in the<br />

supply chain to respond. As a result, contractors are<br />

<strong>International</strong> building costs per m 2 of internal area, in <strong>2016</strong><br />

GBP<br />

USD<br />

(exchange<br />

rate: 0.68)<br />

Airports (building only)<br />

Domestic terminal, full service 3,680 5,410<br />

Low-cost carrier terminal, basic service 2,730 4,010<br />

Car parks<br />

Multi-storey above ground 680 1,000<br />

Multi-storey below ground 1,050 1,540<br />

Commercial<br />

Offices – Business Park 2,350 3,460<br />

CBD Offices – up to 20 floors medium (A-Grade) 2,700 3,970<br />

CBD Offices – high-rise prestige 3,300 4,850<br />

Education<br />

Primary and secondary 1,950 2,870<br />

University 2,800 4,120<br />

Hospitals<br />

Day centre (including basic surgeries) 2,500 3,680<br />

Regional hospital 3,100 4,560<br />

General hospital (e.g. city teaching hospital) 3,500 5,150<br />

Hotels<br />

3 Star travellers 2,240 3,290<br />

5 Star luxury 3,250 4,780<br />

Resort style 2,840 4,180<br />

Industrial<br />

Warehouse/factory units – basic 840 1,240<br />

Large warehouse distribution centre 1,000 1,470<br />

High-tech factory/laboratory 1,940 2,850<br />

Residential<br />

Individual detached or terrace style house – medium standard 1,720 2,530<br />

Individual detached house – prestige 3,170 4,660<br />

Townhouses – medium standard 2,520 3,710<br />

Apartments low-rise – medium standard 2,510 3,690<br />

Apartments high-rise 2,800 4,120<br />

Aged care/affordable units 1,820 2,680<br />

72<br />

Turner & Townsend

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