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International construction market survey 2016

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Around the globe<br />

South Africa – Johannesburg<br />

Commodities, inflation and political turmoil driving cost escalation<br />

Economic overview<br />

Weak commodity export volumes and price inflation<br />

are slowing the national economy. Confidence in the<br />

government is down, exchange rates have dropped sharply<br />

and recently raised interest rates are expected to be<br />

on the increase again soon. With growth of 0.7 percent<br />

recorded in the third quarter of 2015, the country is<br />

close to being in a recession.<br />

Construction <strong>market</strong> and trends<br />

The <strong>construction</strong> <strong>market</strong> has been facing a difficult period,<br />

with planned infrastructure spend reduced and industry<br />

and development constrained by an oversubscribed and<br />

fragile power infrastructure. While material costs remain<br />

stable, currency depreciation is affecting imports and<br />

placing added pressure on certain <strong>construction</strong> projects.<br />

Future outlook<br />

The country’s turbulent political and economic climate is<br />

set to impact negatively on the <strong>construction</strong> sector, with<br />

cost escalation projected to rise and tender rates expected<br />

to increase at a rate higher than inflation in <strong>2016</strong> and<br />

through to 2017. This is due to increased builders input<br />

costs driven by labour rates, fuel costs and the impact<br />

of the weak currency on imported components.<br />

<strong>International</strong> building costs per m 2 of internal area, in <strong>2016</strong><br />

ZAR<br />

USD<br />

(exchange<br />

rate: 15.52)<br />

Airports (building only)<br />

Domestic terminal, full service 27,700 1,780<br />

Low-cost carrier terminal, basic service 19,500 1,260<br />

Car parks<br />

Multi-storey above ground 5,000 320<br />

Multi-storey below ground 6,000 390<br />

Commercial<br />

Offices – Business Park 8,200 530<br />

CBD Offices – up to 20 floors medium (A-Grade) 11,000 710<br />

CBD Offices – high-rise prestige 14,500 930<br />

Education<br />

Primary and secondary 8,900 570<br />

University 11,500 740<br />

Hospitals<br />

Day centre (including basic surgeries) 9,900 640<br />

Regional hospital 15,000 970<br />

General hospital (e.g. city teaching hospital) 18,400 1,190<br />

Hotels<br />

3 Star travellers 13,500 870<br />

5 Star luxury 22,500 1,450<br />

Resort style 21,400 1,380<br />

Industrial<br />

Warehouse/factory units – basic 4,600 300<br />

Large warehouse distribution centre 5,100 330<br />

High-tech factory/laboratory 12,000 770<br />

Residential<br />

Individual detached or terrace style house – medium standard 7,000 450<br />

Individual detached house – prestige 12,500 810<br />

Townhouses – medium standard 7,700 500<br />

Apartments low-rise – medium standard 8,300 530<br />

Apartments high-rise 9,500 610<br />

Aged care/affordable units 7,000 450<br />

Retail<br />

Large shopping centre including mall 12,500 810<br />

Neighbourhood incl super<strong>market</strong> 9,300 600<br />

Prestige car showroom 9,900 640<br />

60<br />

Turner & Townsend

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