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International construction market survey 2016

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Overstretched and<br />

over-reliant: the new global<br />

<strong>construction</strong> <strong>market</strong><br />

The global <strong>construction</strong> industry has polarised between intense competition and shrinking<br />

demand. Our <strong>2016</strong> international <strong>construction</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>survey</strong> shows a changing picture, with<br />

general slowdown in global <strong>construction</strong> activity and few locations seeing significant price<br />

growth throughout the year.<br />

Our <strong>2016</strong> <strong>survey</strong> is our largest and most in-depth to date.<br />

It presents detailed <strong>construction</strong> cost data collected from<br />

our industry experts in 38 key world <strong>market</strong>s and analysed<br />

by our team of economists.<br />

Our teams have analysed input costs – such as labour<br />

and materials – and charted the average <strong>construction</strong><br />

cost per m 2 for both commercial and residential projects.<br />

Newcomers to the <strong>survey</strong> in <strong>2016</strong> include Istanbul, Kigali,<br />

Paris, San Francisco and Zurich. We have also increased<br />

our regional coverage by adding new regional data for<br />

the USA.<br />

For investors and developers with global expansion plans,<br />

there are locations where favourable exchange rates<br />

and reasonable <strong>construction</strong> costs make them an<br />

attractive proposition.<br />

This year we’ve identified some of the major common<br />

challenges faced by the <strong>construction</strong> sector, such as<br />

industry skills shortages in over-stretching <strong>market</strong>s, and<br />

undertaken some analysis that has uncovered a number<br />

of key trends.<br />

Inherent <strong>construction</strong> differences in various regions<br />

contribute to some cost differences – for instance, the<br />

quality of a prestige house in one <strong>market</strong> may not be the<br />

same as the quality of a prestige house in another <strong>market</strong>.<br />

To avoid bias, our approach is to ask our experts to provide<br />

cost details for what would be the typical <strong>construction</strong><br />

format in their region.<br />

Survey highlights:<br />

▪▪<br />

Swiss city Zurich enters the <strong>survey</strong> as the world’s<br />

most expensive <strong>construction</strong> <strong>market</strong>, with typical<br />

costs reaching USD3,683 per m 2 .<br />

▪▪<br />

▪▪<br />

▪▪<br />

▪▪<br />

Beijing saw the biggest fall in <strong>construction</strong> costs<br />

in 2015 at ten percent.<br />

New York City and Seattle are identified<br />

as overheating.<br />

Global <strong>construction</strong> costs are expected to rise<br />

overall by 2.9 percent in <strong>2016</strong>.<br />

Activity levels will increase over the next year<br />

in nine of the <strong>market</strong>s <strong>survey</strong>ed, stay the same<br />

in 19, and fall in ten.<br />

▪▪<br />

Commodity-reliant <strong>market</strong>s such as Johannesburg,<br />

Perth and São Paulo lead the list of <strong>market</strong>s that<br />

will cool in <strong>2016</strong>.<br />

▪▪<br />

Markets reliant on Chinese demand such as<br />

Hong Kong, Kuala Lumpur and Singapore are<br />

also set to cool.<br />

We continue to use a variety of <strong>construction</strong> cost<br />

comparison methodologies to ensure our findings deliver<br />

both accuracy and insight. Methods such as straight-line<br />

US dollar conversion, Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and<br />

location factors have been implemented to standardise<br />

our data and draw useful conclusions. For more information<br />

on the methods we use see pages 80 and 81.<br />

Detailed explanations of what’s included in and excluded<br />

from our cost information are given at the back of this<br />

report on page 82.<br />

2<br />

Turner & Townsend

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