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Armed and insecure

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Kenya<br />

Nairobi<br />

largest city), which the Kenyan government has recently threatened to close. 329<br />

<strong>Armed</strong> Conflicts <strong>and</strong> <strong>Armed</strong> Violence<br />

Kenya flips the most common narrative in the region by witnessing greater unrest<br />

<strong>and</strong> violence over the last few years than in the decades before. Kenya’s rate of intentional<br />

homicides saw an upwards jump fairly recently: while it hovered around 3.5 per 100,000<br />

between 2005 <strong>and</strong> 2008, the period between 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2012 had an average of almost 6 per<br />

100,000, with the highest rate (6.4, or a total of 2,761 homicides) in 2012. 330 Interestingly, the<br />

rate for Nairobi alone between 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2012 (5.2) was lower than the national level, a fairly<br />

unusual dynamic of homicide levels being higher outside the country’s capital. From 2007 to<br />

2012, the average yearly body counts from ‘conflict deaths’ <strong>and</strong> ‘firearm homicides’ were similar,<br />

434 <strong>and</strong> 314 victims respectively. 331 Regarding firearm homicides, the country’s estimated high<br />

329 The Guardian, ‘Dadaab: the city you cannot leave’, www.theguardian.com/global-development-professionals-network/2016/feb/01/dadaab-somalia-homecannot-leave-refugees.<br />

In total, Kenya hosts around 600,000 refugees, including 178,00 in Kakuma camp <strong>and</strong> over 50,000 in urban areas, http://reporting.unhcr.<br />

org/node/2537#_ga=1.46830628.2011100404.1465458953.<br />

330 UNODC, ‘Global Homicide Study 2013’, www.unodc.org/documents/gsh/pdfs/2014_GLOBAL_HOMICIDE_BOOK_web.pdf. Looking at ‘violent deaths’,<br />

Kenya’s average in 2007-2012 was 6.7 per 100,000. While 2012 had the second highest rate (7.2) in the period between 2004 <strong>and</strong> 2012, a spike in 2008 (9.1)<br />

had significant effects on the averages of the time series, see Geneva Declaration, ‘Global Burden of <strong>Armed</strong> Violence 2015’, May 2015, www.genevadeclaration.<br />

org/measurability/global-burden-of-armed-violence/global-burden-of-armed-violence-2015.html.<br />

331 UNODC Global Homicide Study, 2013.<br />

PAX ! <strong>Armed</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>insecure</strong><br />

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