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Armed and insecure

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them. 355 A few days later, 36 workers in a M<strong>and</strong>era quarry were murdered. 356<br />

Possibly the most tragic attack—<strong>and</strong> Al-Shabaab’s largest strike—came in April 2015, when 147<br />

people, mostly students reportedly targeted for being Christian, were massacred by four gunmen<br />

at Garissa University in Kenya’s northeast. Despite a siege of over 12 hours, the security forces’<br />

response was once again heavily criticised. 357 The brutal attack was “among the three most<br />

deadly terrorist attacks on educational targets on record since 1970” worldwide. 358 The purported<br />

mastermind of the attack, Mohamed Kuno, who had reportedly since defected from Al-Shabaab<br />

with 1,200 fighters to join a pro-ISIS faction, was killed in Somalia in May 2016. 359<br />

Almost five years on, it would appear that early criticisms of Kenya’s intervention in Somalia—its<br />

haste in preparation (mainly in response to kidnappings of foreigners), lack of proper strategy<br />

<strong>and</strong> international support, shifting goals <strong>and</strong> ignorance of the potential blowback—were<br />

vindicated: “involvement in Somalia was partly motivated by a desire to inoculate North Eastern<br />

Province from the chaos across its border, ease a huge refugee burden <strong>and</strong> curtail the radical<br />

influence of Al-Shabaab, but the unintended consequences may prove destabilising”. 360<br />

Indeed, it is quite feasible that rather than protecting Kenyan citizens, involvement in Somalia<br />

has brought upon them higher levels of violence, as the border “is now the soft underbelly in the<br />

war against Al-Shabaab [...] part of its strategy is to outflank the KDF <strong>and</strong> wage a low-intensity<br />

guerrilla campaign [...] behind Kenyan lines”. 361 In fact, the blowback has spread geographically,<br />

with attacks in the following locations in 2014: M<strong>and</strong>era (19 attacks), Nairobi (nine), Mombasa<br />

(nine), Garissa (seven), <strong>and</strong> Wajir (five). 362 Now entrenched, Al-Shabaab threatens to further<br />

ignite ethnic <strong>and</strong> political conflicts in Kenya. 363<br />

355 BBC, ‘Kenya bus attack: Military kills 100 Shabab militants’, November 2014, www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-30167891.<br />

356 The Guardian, ‘Al-Shabaab militants kill 36 Christian quarry workers in Kenya’, December 2014, www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/02/kenya-quarrymassacre-leaves-36-dead-says-red-cross.<br />

357 BBC, ‘Kenya attack: 147 dead in Garissa University assault’, April 2015, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-32169080; Voice of America, ‘Threat Remains<br />

One Year After Garissa University Terror Attack’, www.voanews.com/content/threat-remains-one-year-after-garissa-university-terror-attack/3262900.html.<br />

358 START, ‘Al-Shabaab Attack on Garissa University in Kenya’, www.start.umd.edu/pubs/STARTBackgroundReport_alShabaabGarissaU_April2015.pdf.<br />

359 The Star, ‘Garissa massacre mastermind Mohammed Kuno killed -Juba security minister’, June 2016, www.the-star.co.ke/news/2016/06/01/garissamassacre-mastermind-mohammed-kuno-killed-juba-security_c1361824.<br />

360 ICG, ‘The Kenyan Military Intervention in Somalia’, February 2012, www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/africa/horn-of-africa/kenya/184%20-%20The%20<br />

Kenyan%20Military%20Intervention%20in%20Somalia.pdf.<br />

361 Ibid.<br />

362 START, ‘Al-Shabaab Attack on Garissa University in Kenya’, www.start.umd.edu/pubs/STARTBackgroundReport_alShabaabGarissaU_April2015.pdf.<br />

363 “Al-Shabaab has kept its promise to bring the war to Kenya, whether by its own h<strong>and</strong> or local affiliates <strong>and</strong> by sowing divisions in a nation still not at ease<br />

with itself. Its intent is two-fold: to put pressure on the government’s continued deployment with AMISOM in southern Somalia by hitting targets that directly<br />

affect the financial interests of the middle ‘political’ class <strong>and</strong> divide them; <strong>and</strong> meanwhile insert cells <strong>and</strong> trained fighters into locations with pre-existing<br />

grievances <strong>and</strong> patterns of violence that the authorities have historically struggled to address <strong>and</strong> contain”, ICG, ‘Kenya: Al-Shabaab – Closer to Home’,<br />

September 2014,<br />

www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/africa/horn-of-africa/kenya/b102-kenya-al-shabaab-closer-to-home.<br />

PAX ! <strong>Armed</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>insecure</strong><br />

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