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Understanding Stocks

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112 UNDERSTANDING STOCKS<br />

CSCO Daily<br />

Volume<br />

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Figure 11-3 Candlestick chart<br />

Downtrend<br />

12/06/02<br />

A stock that is in a downtrend is moving lower and has been for a<br />

while. To create a downtrend, draw a line along the top of the chart in<br />

such a way that you connect at least two points. If a stock is in a downtrend<br />

with high volume (meaning that a lot of people are selling), the<br />

stock could be in trouble. Figure 11-4 shows an example of a stock in<br />

a downtrend.<br />

If a stock is in a downtrend and has been for a while, you have to be<br />

pretty brave to buy the stock. A few years ago, people used to buy<br />

stocks when they were in a downtrend because they assumed that the<br />

trend was only temporary. This aggressive strategy actually worked<br />

until the 2000 bear market arrived. At that point, instead of there being<br />

a temporary dip, most stocks kept going down, wiping out the accounts<br />

of many investors. No matter what you think of technical analysis, it is<br />

a mistake to ignore what you see on a stock chart.<br />

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