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Understanding Stocks

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182 UNDERSTANDING STOCKS<br />

mutual funds so that you don’t miss out on the best days. Although this<br />

makes sense, you also want to avoid the worst days!)<br />

You will have to experiment to determine what are the best days to<br />

move. For example, some people who use this method don’t move on<br />

Fridays. Others move only when the Dow is up a huge amount, at least<br />

1.5 percent. Others move if the Dow is up at least 1 percent. You also<br />

have to check European markets for any news that could affect the next<br />

day’s stock prices. Finally, you need to carefully study which countries<br />

your European fund is investing in.<br />

What the Critics Say<br />

Mutual fund companies don’t like market timers and will do everything<br />

in their power to discourage timing strategies. Many of them penalize<br />

traders with taxable accounts by tacking on 1 percent penalties if they<br />

notice market-timing tactics. [It’s also possible that in the future mutual<br />

fund companies will tack on penalties if you use this strategy in your<br />

401(k) or 403(b).]<br />

Critics contend that this strategy punishes long-term investors in<br />

foreign mutual funds. Jason Zweig wrote in Money magazine that in<br />

just a few years, short-term mutual fund traders have transferred millions<br />

of dollars ($420 million, according to him) from the accounts of<br />

long-term investors to their own accounts. Zweig suggests that the<br />

strategy, although legal, is unethical and should be stopped. Basically,<br />

mutual fund traders are taking advantage of a loophole in the way<br />

mutual funds are priced. Others might argue this is simply the capitalist<br />

system at work. In the end, you have to judge for yourself whether<br />

it is capitalism at work or unethical greed.<br />

As you know from reading this book, mutual funds are supposed to<br />

be long-term investments, not vehicles for short-term trading. That is<br />

why market timing drives mutual fund managers crazy. They hate it<br />

when you transfer money into and out of international funds. Therefore,<br />

once they identify you as a market timer, it is likely that you will<br />

no longer be allowed to use the strategy.<br />

Although this strategy worked in the past, there is no guarantee that<br />

it will work in the future. Just like other market timing strategies that<br />

have worked before (e.g., the January effect), once too many people

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