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WWRR Vol.2.015

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M<br />

FOUNDATION<br />

Exhibit 5:<br />

Snapshot of physical retailers in India<br />

Stores<br />

Grocery (Food+HPC)<br />

Omni-channel<br />

presence<br />

Revenue (F18)<br />

Retail area<br />

(mn sq ft)<br />

Future Retail 285 Big Bazaar 40% of revenue Via prime now Rs177bn 13.5<br />

666 Easyday<br />

D-Mart 155 72% of revenue Dmart-Ready Rs150bn 4.9<br />

Reliance Retail 117 Reliance Smart 30% of retail* revenues Ajio Rs117bn N/A<br />

406 Reliance Fresh Reliancesmart<br />

More 20 large format 66%** of revenue mymorestore Rs44bn 2<br />

523 small format<br />

Spencer’s 58 large format 79% of revenue spencers Rs21bn 1.2<br />

70 small format<br />

Source: Company Data, media sources, Morgan Stanley Research Note: N/A Not available; * - We exclude revenues from connectivity and Petro Retail<br />

for Reliance retail revenues; ** - Avenue Supermarts DRHP - data for F16<br />

Exhibit 6:<br />

Big Bazaar (Future Group) stores in top<br />

15 cities<br />

Key Cities Number of stores<br />

Hyderabad 26<br />

NCR 25<br />

MMR 24<br />

Bengaluru 20<br />

Kolkata 15<br />

Chennai 8<br />

Pune 7<br />

Ahmedabad 5<br />

Lucknow 5<br />

Jaipur 4<br />

Nagpur 4<br />

Kanpur 3<br />

Kochi 3<br />

Patna 3<br />

Indore 2<br />

Source: Company Data<br />

Total addressable market for<br />

store-based retailing to increase<br />

>2x in the next five years...<br />

We forecast revenues for store-based retailing to rise<br />

from ~US$84bn in F2018 to ~US$177bn in F2023,<br />

implying a CAGR of 16%. The contribution of storebased<br />

retail is likely to rise across all categories,<br />

except electronics, where we expect a meaningful<br />

channel shift in favor of eCommerce. Excluding electronics,<br />

store-based retail revenues in India are likely<br />

to increase 2.5x between F18 and F23, implying a<br />

CAGR of 20%.<br />

Exhibit 7:<br />

We expect the addressable market for store-based retailing in India to increase >2x by<br />

F2023<br />

Store -based retail market size ($bn) F2018 F2023e CAGR (%)<br />

Grocery 10.7 28.7 22%<br />

Apparel and footwear 17.9 43.2 19%<br />

Electronics 34.8 53.9 9%<br />

Optical goods 0.5 1.3 23%<br />

Home 3.5 8.9 21%<br />

Jewellery and watches 11.9 29.8 20%<br />

Others (Luggage, Sports goods, Books etc) 4.4 10.8 19%<br />

Total (ex electronics) 48.9 122.7 20%<br />

Total 83.6 176.6 16%<br />

Source: Euromonitor, Morgan Stanley Research<br />

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