Sudan i ett strategiskt perspektiv. - FOI

FOI MEMO
Datum/Date Sida/Page
2011-02-09 22 (25)
Titel/Title Memo nummer/number
Strategiska intressen i ett framtida Sudan FOI Memo 3528
Referenser
1 Frontier m.fl. The Cost of Future Conflict in Sudan, rapport från Frontier, ISS, SID, AEGIS, 2010, s. 6
2 Brosché, Johan, Sharing Power -Enabling Peace? Evaluating Sudan’s Comprehensive Peace Agreement 2005,
Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, s. 20-21
3 Smith, David, ‘Sudan referendum results confimed’, the Guardian, 7 februari 2011
4 European Union Election Observation Mission Southern Sudan Referendum, ‘EU Election Observation Mission:
Southern Sudan Referendum voting process credible, well organised and with overwhelming participation by
Southern Sudanese voters’, press release 17 januari 2011
5 Frontier, m.fl. The Cost of Future Conflict in Sudan, s. 10
6 Ahmad, Abdel Ghaffar Mohamed, Sudan Peace Agreements: Current challenges and Future Prospects, Chr.
Michelsen Institute, 2010, s. 4
7 Omeje, Kenneth, Dangers of splitting a fragile rentier state: Getting it right in Southern Sudan, ACCORD,
Occasional Papers Series, 2010, s. 14-15
8 Collins, Robert O, A History of Modern Sudan, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2008, s. 123
9 Omeje, Kenneth, Dangers of splitting a fragile rentier state, s. 16
10 Brosché, Johan, Sharing Power -Enabling Peace?, s. 20
11 European Union Election Observation Mission Southern Sudan Referendum, press release 17 januari 2011; Carter
Center, ‘Carter Center Finds Sudanese Referendum Peaceful and Credible’, press release 17 januari 2011
12 Se Assessment and Evaluation Commission, Midterm Evaluation Report, Submitted Pursuant to the
Comprehensive Peace Agreement, juli 2008. s.11-15, http://www.aec-sudan.org/docs/aec/2008_MTE-en.pdf
13 Institute of Security Studies (ISS), ‘Peace and Security Council Protocol, nr. 16’, november 2010
14 International Crisis Group (ICG), Negotiating Sudan’s North-South Future, Africa Briefing nr 76, 23 november
2010
15
Energy Information Administration, ’Country Analysis Briefs: Sudan’, 2010,
http://www.eia.doe.gov/cabs/Sudan/Full.html
16
Värdsbanken, ’Sudan: Country Brief’, 2010, http://go.worldbank.org/7TIDMM4L80
17
Comprehensive Peace Agreement 2005
18
‘Bashir accpets Sudan vote to secede’, Aljazeera, 7 februari 2011,
http://english.aljazeera.net/news/africa/2011/02/20112714264792774.html
19
För möjliga scenarios se van der Lijn, Jaïr, Sudan 2010 Scenarios for the future, Clingendael Institute, 2009; The
Cost of Future Conflict in Sudan, s. 6, 10
20
Emmanuel, Kisiangani, South’s Sudan’s Referendum and its possible implications, Institute for Security Studies,
2010
21
Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI), ‘Security Sector Reform Monitor: Southern Sudan’, No 3,
november 2010. s. 9-11
22 Schwartz, Alan, Scenarios for Sudan: Avoiding Political Violence through 2011, United States Institute of Peace,
Special Report 228, Agusti 2009; van der Lijn, Jaïr, Sudan 2010 Scenarios for the future
23 Emmanuel, K, South’s Sudan’s Referendum and its possible implications
24 ‘Scenario: Sudan to split but what happens next?’ Reuters, 7 februari 2011
25 ‘Sharia law to be tightened if Sudan splits’, BBC, 19 december 2010, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-12033185
26 Institute of Security Studies (ISS), ‘Peace and Security Council Protocol, nr. 16’ november 2010,
27 United State Institute of Peace, ‘Jason Gluck on Popular Consultations in Sudan’, video clip,
http://www.usip.org/newsroom/multimedia/video-gallery/interview-jason-gluck-about-popular-consultation-in-sudan
28 Frontier m.fl., The Cost of Future Conflict in Sudan, s. 17
29 International Crisis Group (ICG), Sudan: Regional Perspectives on the Prospect of Southern Independence ,
Africa Report No 159, 6 May 2010
30 Romita, Paul, The Sudan referenda: what role for international actors?, International Peace Institute (IPI), 2010,
Issue brief, s. 6
31 ICG, Sudan: Regional Perspectives on the Prospect of Southern Independence, s 3
32 Frontier m.fl., The Cost of Future Conflict in Sudan
33 ICG, Sudan: Regional Perspectives on the Prospect of Southern Independence, s 1
34 Romita, P, The Sudan referenda: what role for international actors?, IPI, s 6
35 ICG, Sudan: Regional Perspectives on the Prospect of Southern Independence, s 1-2
36 Ibid, s 2
37 Rapport från USA:s ambassad i Nairobi till Amerikanska UD i november 2008, släppt av Wikileaks 2010-12-09
38 Gettleman, Jeffery och Gordon, Michael R., ’Pirates’ Catch Exposed Route of Arms in Sudan’, New York Times, 8
dec 2010
39 ICG, Sudan: Regional Perspectives on the Prospect of Southern Independence, s 3
40 ICG, Sudan: Regional Perspectives on the Prospect of Southern Independence, s 6, 8
41 Romita, P, The Sudan referenda: what role for international actors?, IPI, s 6