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Ben-Gurion University of the Negev Jacob Blaustein Institutes for ...

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10<br />

summer it may have from to 2 to 5 months without having any significant precipitation<br />

(Beck et al. 2006).<br />

Temperatures during winter only occasionally reach freezing and snow only rarely<br />

occurs at sea level. In <strong>the</strong> winter, <strong>the</strong> temperatures range from mild to very warm,<br />

depending on distance from <strong>the</strong> sea and elevation. Even in <strong>the</strong> warmest locations,<br />

however, temperatures usually don't reach <strong>the</strong> highest readings found in adjacent desert<br />

regions due to cooling effect <strong>of</strong> water bodies, although strong winds (Scirocco 4 ) from<br />

North African desert regions can sometimes boost summer temperatures. Inland<br />

locations sheltered from or distant from sea breezes can experience severe heat during<br />

<strong>the</strong> summer (Beck et al. 2006).<br />

2.3 Rainfall trend in Sicily: Spatial Distribution<br />

Historical series were analyzed using spatial analysis techniques in a GIS environment<br />

(Piccione et al., 2008). The application was conducted using monthly data, recorded or<br />

reconstructed from 247 rain gauge stations during <strong>the</strong> period 1931–1990.<br />

Average annual rainfall indexes have been calculated according to <strong>the</strong> Medalus<br />

methodology (European Commission, 1999) in two different periods (1931-1960 and<br />

1961-1990). Figures 3 shows in dark green <strong>the</strong> spatial distribution <strong>of</strong> year precipitations<br />

larger than 650 mm in <strong>the</strong> period 1931-1960 and figure 4 shows <strong>the</strong> same patterns in <strong>the</strong><br />

period 1961-90. The percentage <strong>of</strong> regional surface areas with precipitations larger than<br />

650 mm per year decreased from 60% to 34%. Moreover, it can be seen that a great<br />

number <strong>of</strong> stations with a statistically significant negative trend are located in <strong>the</strong><br />

western and south-western part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> island (Piccione et al., 2008) corresponding to <strong>the</strong><br />

study area.<br />

4 Sirocco, scirocco, jugo or, rarely, siroc is a Mediterranean wind that comes from <strong>the</strong> Sahara and reaches<br />

hurricane speeds in North Africa and Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Europe. It is known in North Africa by <strong>the</strong> arabic word<br />

qibli (i.e. "coming from <strong>the</strong> qibla".)

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