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Beyond Borders: Global biotechnology report 2010

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Roe: I am in agreement that sustaining and enduring government<br />

policy is a critical accelerator here, and certainly we’ve seen<br />

evidence of that in Brazil, without question. We can question<br />

whether or not we’ve seen that in the United States yet. In fact,<br />

I would posit that we have not. Thirty-five or so years after the<br />

declaration that we have to become energy independent, we<br />

still don’t have an enduring energy policy in this country. Every<br />

administration, Democrat or Republican, has failed to follow<br />

through on its promises.<br />

So I agree with Ollie in that regard. I would say further that<br />

from the standpoint of a true accelerator, independent of the<br />

molecule, independent of the fuel type, whether it’s ethanol or<br />

the so-called drop-in type fuels, I think a terrific accelerator would<br />

be investment tax credits (ITCs). We’ve seen this in other areas<br />

of the cleantech space, the clean energy space. We’ve seen ITCs<br />

successfully employed in wind and solar. But we have yet to see<br />

the same mechanism employed in biofuels, and I think it would<br />

be not only an acceptable, but almost necessary early incentive.<br />

Then, I would also agree with Ollie, that these incentives ultimately<br />

have to go away again.<br />

Forer: What are some of the solutions to scaling up biofuels?<br />

Mace: Again, it’s this notion of partnerships — recognizing<br />

complementary skills and recognizing what specific partners are<br />

good at. People who are good at developing technologies and who<br />

are at the forefront of bioscience, for example, but may not have<br />

the track record or the bench strength to really do the scaling up of<br />

their process, meeting halfway with the people who are less high-<br />

tech but have more of a track record of delivering big projects at<br />

scale consistently, who have the know-how and the processes.<br />

Roe: I would agree with that, and I would also say that there<br />

probably is some room here for true finance innovation. I don’t<br />

know if it can be actualized or if we’ll ever see this in the foreseeable<br />

future, but something as novel or as new as a green bank scenario<br />

that’s been proposed, for example. One of the most difficult things<br />

to do today if you’re ready to go, if you’re ready to get a project of<br />

size up and running or up and constructed, is just the acquisition of<br />

even conventional project debt, where lenders today are perhaps<br />

rightfully gun-shy about taking chances on big projects with first-ofa-kind<br />

technologies.<br />

It would be a huge undertaking. It’s unclear whether the climate<br />

today would be conducive to such a concept. But it would be a<br />

manifestation of what we talked about earlier in terms of the need<br />

for enduring government policy and a stake in the ground that says<br />

if it takes us 20 to 30 years to get there, we have to start now and<br />

we have to have structures in place, including innovative financing<br />

structures, that will allow this to happen.<br />

Haywood: We’ve linked synthetic biology with industrial biology.<br />

When I say that, the magic is really in the synthetic part, what we do<br />

inside the host organism. But the other piece is equally important;<br />

the industrial biology actually allows you to scale up, and that’s<br />

really fermentation. Fermentation is not a new science. It’s been<br />

around since the Phoenicians used it to make alcohols. Thus, the<br />

technology is actually older than oil and gas refining and it’s very<br />

sophisticated. The Brazilians have used it effectively to make<br />

ethanol. And also in the US, we’re now making a lot of ethanol using<br />

fermentation, and I think that’s one of the better technologies to<br />

be able to tap into to produce at the scale that we’re talking about.<br />

We didn’t invent it; we’re just using it. And it’s very effective. It has<br />

a history of being reliable and productive, and it goes on at pretty<br />

much ambient temperatures and pressures, so it doesn’t require a<br />

lot of exotic equipment. This keeps the capital costs relatively low.<br />

I think the other issue is on the feedstock side. That’s really<br />

unlocking the technology that allows you to convert biomass to<br />

sugars. There are a lot of technologies that use sugars, as LS9<br />

does, to create biofuels. Once you produce sugars from biomass,<br />

you now move the geographies out of just the cane areas to<br />

almost everywhere you can grow cellulosic materials. You can use<br />

switchgrass, wood chips, corn stover and waste products to create<br />

sugars. I think when that happens, it will be a huge breakthrough in<br />

terms of the scaling capabilities of a lot of these technologies.<br />

Bandak: I’m starting to see non-traditional pools of capital being<br />

attracted to this space. They may come from traditional parties,<br />

such as sovereign wealth and private equity funds, or potentially<br />

“Biofuels are clearly a big part of the<br />

response and, as a matter of fact, they are<br />

among the very few credible solutions in<br />

the area of transport … Our vision is that<br />

biofuels have the potential to be between<br />

10% and 20% of global transport fuel<br />

energy by 2030.”<br />

101

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