Numerical modeling of waves for a tsunami early warning system
Numerical modeling of waves for a tsunami early warning system
Numerical modeling of waves for a tsunami early warning system
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<strong>Numerical</strong> <strong>modeling</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>waves</strong> <strong>for</strong> a <strong>tsunami</strong> <strong>early</strong> <strong>warning</strong> <strong>system</strong><br />
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Figure 5.8: <strong>Numerical</strong> results <strong>of</strong> the Stromboli-Panarea <strong>tsunami</strong>s<br />
computations. Thick line: the present model results. Thin line: the shallow<br />
water <strong>waves</strong> model.<br />
term computations) have been carried out, the results at the points <strong>of</strong> interest<br />
have to be obtained also <strong>for</strong> very unrealistic/noised input time series. This is<br />
important because when applying the model in real time the <strong>system</strong> should<br />
work also using truncated input time series: when a <strong>tsunami</strong> is detected<br />
by the tidal gauges, the <strong>tsunami</strong>s <strong>early</strong> <strong>warning</strong> <strong>system</strong> immediately has to<br />
<strong>for</strong>ecast the wave properties at the target points. It is unrealistic, given the<br />
limited time available <strong>for</strong> spreading the <strong>warning</strong>, to wait until the <strong>tsunami</strong>s<br />
have been completely measured. It is there<strong>for</strong>e clear that as the <strong>tsunami</strong>s<br />
are measured, the available time series is to be used as input data.<br />
The Stromboli <strong>tsunami</strong> simulation presented is here used to show the<br />
ability <strong>of</strong> the model to predict the water surface elevation at target points<br />
(i.e. points 2, 3 and 4), as the data become available at a gauge close to<br />
Università degli Studi di Roma Tre - DSIC 101<br />
t(s)