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Numerical modeling of waves for a tsunami early warning system

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<strong>Numerical</strong> <strong>modeling</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>waves</strong> <strong>for</strong> a <strong>tsunami</strong> <strong>early</strong> <strong>warning</strong> <strong>system</strong><br />

interval; it is assumed that the solution is periodical over that time interval<br />

and that it repeats identically over the following and the preceding time.<br />

There<strong>for</strong>e the selected time interval should be long enough to allow all the<br />

wave energy to exit the computational domain trough the open boundaries<br />

be<strong>for</strong>e the time interval ends. Otherwise interference between wave energy<br />

coming from different time intervals is obtained. If all the wave energy has<br />

left the domain at the end <strong>of</strong> the computation, the following one has zero<br />

initial conditions everywhere, as desired.<br />

To save computational time the elliptic equation (3.29) or (3.48) can be<br />

solved only <strong>for</strong> those wave frequencies <strong>for</strong> which the Fourier Trans<strong>for</strong>m <strong>of</strong><br />

the source terms used to generate the <strong>waves</strong> is significantly greater than<br />

zero. Some wave components (especially the high frequency ones) receiving<br />

negligible energy should not been considered and the corresponding equation<br />

(3.29) or (3.48) not solved.<br />

The model here presented has some features that make it suitable to be<br />

used in <strong>early</strong> <strong>warning</strong> <strong>system</strong>s <strong>for</strong> the <strong>tsunami</strong>s. Firstly it can be applied<br />

in two stages: one is extremely expensive from the computational point <strong>of</strong><br />

view, the other is very fast and can be applied in real-time. The idea is<br />

first to define the computational domain and the areas/boundaries where<br />

the <strong>waves</strong> are generated and to solve the elliptic equations using a unit value<br />

<strong>of</strong> the source term. This part <strong>of</strong> the procedure may be computationally<br />

expensive since the solution <strong>of</strong> hundreds <strong>of</strong> elliptic equations may require<br />

hours or days. However after these computations have been per<strong>for</strong>med and<br />

the results at the points <strong>of</strong> interest have been saved, the actual computation<br />

<strong>of</strong> the wave propagation is very fast. Once the time series <strong>of</strong> the <strong>waves</strong> to<br />

be generated (‘direct’ approach) or the time series <strong>of</strong> the <strong>waves</strong> recorded at<br />

some point <strong>of</strong> the domain by tidal gauges (‘indirect’ approach, as it would<br />

be <strong>for</strong> <strong>early</strong> <strong>warning</strong> <strong>system</strong>s) are available, the source term can be quickly<br />

calculated and the results at each point obtained by means <strong>of</strong> the inverse<br />

Fourier trans<strong>for</strong>m. As known these computations, <strong>for</strong> the amount <strong>of</strong> data<br />

commonly used <strong>for</strong> the problems studied here, take few seconds also on very<br />

slow computers. There<strong>for</strong>e when setting up an <strong>early</strong> <strong>warning</strong> <strong>system</strong> the big<br />

part <strong>of</strong> the work is to define the scenarios (generation areas/boundaries),<br />

and to per<strong>for</strong>m the unit source terms computations. Then the results can<br />

be used <strong>for</strong> the simulation in real time, <strong>for</strong>ecasting the properties <strong>of</strong> the<br />

<strong>waves</strong> at the desired points <strong>of</strong> the computational domain at an acceptable<br />

computational cost. In the section 5.3 is presented an application <strong>of</strong> the<br />

model which shows an example <strong>of</strong> <strong>tsunami</strong> <strong>for</strong>ecasting in real time: after<br />

Università degli Studi di Roma Tre - DSIC 34

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