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Asset Pricing John H. Cochrane June 12, 2000

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SECTION 1.5 DISCOUNT FACTORS IN CONTINUOUS TIME<br />

Using the expanded version (1.32) in the basic equation (1.29), and dividing by pΛ to make<br />

it pretty, we obtain an equivalent, slightly less compact but slightly more intuitive version,<br />

0= D<br />

· ¸<br />

dΛ dp dΛ dp<br />

dt + Et + + . (33)<br />

p Λ p Λ p<br />

(This formula only works when both Λ and p can never be zero. That is often enough the case<br />

that this formula is useful. If not, multiply through by Λ and p and keep them in numerators.)<br />

Applying the basic pricing equations (1.29) or (1.33) to a riskfree rate, defined as (1.25)<br />

or (1.26), we obtain<br />

r f<br />

µ <br />

dΛt<br />

t dt = −Et<br />

(34)<br />

This equation is the obvious continuous time equivalent to<br />

R f 1<br />

t =<br />

Et(mt+1) .<br />

If a riskfree rate is not traded, we can use (1.34) to define a shadow riskfree rate or zero-beta<br />

rate.<br />

With this interpretation, we can rearrange equation (1.33) as<br />

µ <br />

dpt<br />

Et +<br />

pt<br />

Dt<br />

dt = r<br />

pt<br />

f<br />

· ¸<br />

dΛt dpt<br />

t dt − Et . (35)<br />

Λt pt<br />

This is the obvious continuous-time analogue to<br />

Λt<br />

E(R) =R f − R f cov(m, R). (36)<br />

The last term in (1.35) is the covariance of the return with the discount factor or marginal<br />

utility. Since means are order dt, there is no difference between covariance and second moment<br />

in the last term of (1.35). The interest rate component of the last term of (1.36) naturally<br />

vanishes as the time interval gets short.<br />

Ito’s lemma makes many transformations simple in continuous time. For example, the<br />

nonlinear transformation between consumption and the discount factor led us to some tricky<br />

approximations in discrete time. This transformation is easy in continuous time (diffusions<br />

are locally normal, so it’s really the same trick). With Λt = e−δtu0 (ct) we have<br />

dΛt = −δe −δt u 0 (ct)dt + e −δt u 00 (ct)dct + 1<br />

2 e−δtu 000 (ct)dc 2 t<br />

dΛt<br />

Λt<br />

= −δdt + ctu00 (ct)<br />

u0 dct<br />

(ct) ct<br />

37<br />

+ 1<br />

2<br />

c2 t u000 (ct)<br />

u0 dc<br />

(ct)<br />

2 t<br />

c2 t<br />

(37)

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