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Asset Pricing John H. Cochrane June 12, 2000

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SECTION 2.4 ALTERNATIVE ASSET PRICING MODELS: OVERVIEW<br />

Figure 5. Mean excess returns of 10 CRSP size portfolios vs. predictions of the power<br />

utility consumption-based model. The predictions are generated by −R f cov(m, R i ) with<br />

m = β(ct+1/ct) −γ . β =0.98 and γ =241are picked by first-stage GMM to minimize the<br />

sum of squared pricing errors (deviation from 45 ◦ line). Source: <strong>Cochrane</strong> (1996).<br />

2.4 Alternative asset pricing models: Overview<br />

I motivate exploration of different utility functions, general equilibrium models, and linear<br />

factor models such as the CAPM, APT and ICAPM as approaches to circumvent the empirical<br />

difficulties of the consumption-based model.<br />

The poor empirical performance of the consumption-based model motivates a search for<br />

alternative asset pricing models – alternative functions m = f(data). All asset pricing models<br />

amount to different functions for m. Igivehereabaresketchofsomeofthedifferent<br />

approaches; we study each in detail in later chapters.<br />

1) Different utility functions. Perhaps the problem with the consumption-based model is<br />

simply the functional form we chose for utility. The natural response is to try different utility<br />

functions. Which variables determine marginal utility is a far more important question than<br />

the functional form. Perhaps the stock of durable goods influences the marginal utility of<br />

nondurable goods; perhaps leisure or yesterday’s consumption affect today’s marginal utility.<br />

These possibilities are all instances of nonseparabilities. One can also try to use micro data<br />

on individual consumption of stockholders rather than aggregate consumption. Aggregation<br />

of heterogenous investors can make variables such as the cross-sectional variance of income<br />

49

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