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Asset Pricing John H. Cochrane June 12, 2000

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Chapter 4. The discount factor<br />

Now we look more closely at the discount factor. Rather than derive a specific discount factor<br />

as with the consumption-based model in the last chapter, I work backwards. A discount factor<br />

is just some random variable that generates prices from payoffs, p = E(mx). What does this<br />

expression mean? Can one always find such a discount factor? Can we use this convenient<br />

representation without implicitly assuming all the structure of the investors, utility functions,<br />

complete markets, and so forth?<br />

The chapter focuses on two famous theorems. The law of one price states that if two<br />

portfolios have the same payoffs (in every state of nature), then they must have the same<br />

price. A violation of this law would give rise to an immediate kind of arbitrage profit, as you<br />

could sell the expensive version and buy the cheap version of the same portfolio. The first<br />

theorem states that there is a discount factor that prices all the payoffs by p = E(mx) if and<br />

only if this law of one price holds.<br />

In finance, we reserve the term absence of arbitrage for a stronger idea, that if payoff A<br />

is always at least as good as payoff B, and sometimes A is better, then the price of A must<br />

be greater than the price of B. The second theorem is that there is a positive discount factor<br />

that prices all the payoffs by p = E(mx) if and only if there are no arbitrage opportunities,<br />

so defined.<br />

These theorems are useful to show that we can use stochastic discount factors without<br />

implicitly assuming anything about utility functions, aggregation, complete markets and so<br />

on. All we need to know about investors in order to represent prices and payoffs via a discount<br />

factor is that they won’t leave law of one price violations or arbitrage opportunities on the<br />

table. These theorems can be used to describe aspects of a payoff space (such as law of one<br />

price, absence of arbitrage) by restrictions on the discount factor (such as it exists and it is<br />

positive). Chapter 18 shows how it can be more convenient to impose and check restrictions<br />

on a single discount factor than it is to check the corresponding restrictions on all possible<br />

portfolios. Chapter 7 discusses these and other implications of the existence theorems.<br />

The theorems are credited to Ross (1978), and Harrison and Kreps (1979). My presentation<br />

follows Hansen and Richard (1987).<br />

4.1 Law of one price and existence of a discount factor<br />

Definition of law of one price; price is a linear function.<br />

p = E(mx) implies law of one price.<br />

The law of one price implies that a discount factor exists: There exists a unique x∗ in X<br />

such that p = E(x∗x) for all x ∈ X = space of all available payoffs.<br />

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