Power Statistics - 2010 Edition - Full Report - Eurelectric

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148 Power Statistics – 2010 Edition – Full Report
Forecast data for the years 2010 and 2020 were taken from PSE Operator SA “Development Program
for Domestic Transmission System – Expected scenario” prepared in the middle of the year 2009.
The structure of capacity, production fuel use and emission for year 2030 are expert estimation,
based on trends and preliminary information, obtained from generation subsector.
On the other hand an improvement of electric energy efficiency, increasing its productivity, and
reducing energy consumption in all sectors of the economy is still actual and very important target
for national economy.
It is expected that some of the new capacity coal fired units will be equipped with CCS installation, but
not earlier than after year 2025 when the technical and economical technologies will be attainable
on the market.
Renewable energy
On 10 th November 2009 the Council of Ministers adopted Energy Policy of Poland until 2030.
The document prepared in the Ministry of Economy includes a long-term strategy for the energy sector,
forecasts for fuel and energy demand and a program of implementation activities.
The Policy focuses to a great extent on the development of renewable energy. The most important
undertaking within this area will be developing a path towards achieving the goals included in the
climate package, including a division into individual types of RES and the related technologies.
The document sets the following goals: 15% share of RES in the final energy consumption in 2020 and
10% share of biofuels in the transport fuel market in 2020. Poland will also be aiming to a greater use of
second generation biofuels.
PORTUGAL (pt)
In the coming years, there are no expected major problems in meeting the forecasted demand, although
in a system like the Portuguese, with an increasing penetration of intermittent primary energy sources
like wind, the normal operation will rely more and more on operational reserve adequacy. This reserve
is mainly provided by hydro plants, which are a significant component of the installed capacity.
On the other hand, the ratios of the hydroelectric generation between dry/average/wet hydro conditions
are approximately 0.5/1.0/1.5. This hydrological variability results in strong variations of the annual
thermal generation and, therefore, the fuel consumption and the atmospheric emissions.
Concerning the hydro conditions, 2008 was a very dry year. The hydro power generation had a decrease
of 30% over the previous year (dry year). Electricity output from generation units operating under special
regime conditions pursued its increasing trend, mainly due to the commissioning of 623 MW in new wind
farms that raised the total wind installed capacity in the whole country to 2,757 MW.
In the Mainland Portugal and also in 2008, the Conventional Regime Generation (PRO) represented
72% of the domestic generation. The Special Regime Generation (PRE) represented 28% against
24% in 2007.
TURKEy (tr)
Up to now, the long term generation expansion planning studies have been carrying out by means
of the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) computer models in Turkey. Since, the electricity
market liberalization process has started in Turkey, the generation planning study had not been revised.
Because of this reason the electricity supply figures can not be given for the future years.