Modelling Dependence with Copulas - IFOR
Modelling Dependence with Copulas - IFOR
Modelling Dependence with Copulas - IFOR
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10 Conclusions<br />
In this paper we have shown why knowledge of copulas is essential for understanding<br />
dependence among random variables. We have presented copula based measures of<br />
association and dependence concepts such as tail dependence which provide a natural<br />
way of studying dependence. Furthermore, these measures and dependence<br />
concepts have the very nice property of invariance under strictly increasing transforms<br />
of the underlying random variables. This also means that the problem of<br />
finding multivariate models which are consistent <strong>with</strong> the prespecified margins is<br />
much simplified.<br />
We have presented a large number of copula families and suggested natural multivariate<br />
extensions <strong>with</strong> interesting properties and dependence structures. Since<br />
much of the literature in this area is basically concerned <strong>with</strong> the bivariate case,<br />
we have focused on multivariate extensions of bivariate copula families and extensions<br />
of bivariate results to general dimensions. A main aim of this paper has been<br />
constructing efficient algorithms for random variate generation for the presented n-<br />
dimensional copula families. This is interesting from a theoretical point of view but<br />
perhaps more for practical purposes, since it provides a basis for general simulation<br />
tools for modelling dependence in practice. Applications for risk management in<br />
insurance and finance are discussed, where we have used copula based measures of<br />
association which do not suffer from some of the drawbacks of linear correlation.<br />
It should be noted that although the study of copulas and their applications in<br />
statistics is a rather modern phenomenon, a basic knowledge of probability theory<br />
and statistics is enough to understand all results.<br />
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