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Rural Development Policies and Sustainable Land Use in the ...

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80 CHAPTER 5<br />

when <strong>the</strong>y purchase it than <strong>the</strong> prices net<br />

sellers of food receive when <strong>the</strong>y sell.<br />

Perennial Crops<br />

Of l<strong>and</strong> management practices, only no burn<strong>in</strong>g<br />

is associated with significantly higher<br />

production of perennial crops <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> OLS<br />

model (Table 5.9). Based on <strong>the</strong> estimated<br />

coefficient, <strong>the</strong> impact of no burn<strong>in</strong>g is large,<br />

with predicted value of production 138 percent<br />

higher on perennial plots where no<br />

burn<strong>in</strong>g is used, controll<strong>in</strong>g for o<strong>the</strong>r factors.<br />

The coefficient of <strong>the</strong> no burn<strong>in</strong>g variable<br />

is not statistically significant <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> IV<br />

model, though of similar magnitude, aga<strong>in</strong><br />

reflect<strong>in</strong>g difficulties of identification <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

IV model.<br />

All types of external <strong>in</strong>puts are associated<br />

with statistically significant <strong>and</strong> quantitatively<br />

large positive impacts on perennial<br />

production <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> OLS model, with <strong>the</strong>se<br />

impacts rang<strong>in</strong>g from +158 percent for herbicide<br />

to +321 percent for fertilizer. The impacts<br />

of two of <strong>the</strong>se variables—fertilizer<br />

<strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>puts—are also large <strong>and</strong> statistically<br />

significant <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> IV model. The<br />

<strong>in</strong>significant impact of herbicide <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>secticide<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> IV model may be due to <strong>the</strong><br />

low predictive power of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>strumental<br />

variables <strong>in</strong> predict<strong>in</strong>g use of <strong>the</strong>se practices;<br />

that is, <strong>the</strong> relevance tests show that<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>strumental variables are not statistically<br />

significant predictors of <strong>the</strong>se practices<br />

(p = 0.9975 for herbicide <strong>and</strong> 0.6879<br />

for <strong>in</strong>secticide).<br />

<strong>Use</strong> of hired labor is associated with<br />

greater perennial production <strong>in</strong> both <strong>the</strong> OLS<br />

<strong>and</strong> IV models. O<strong>the</strong>r types of labor use are<br />

not statistically significant determ<strong>in</strong>ants of<br />

perennial production <strong>in</strong> ei<strong>the</strong>r model.<br />

Many o<strong>the</strong>r factors are also significantly<br />

associated with productivity of perennial<br />

crops <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> OLS structural model, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

altitude (–), ra<strong>in</strong>fall deficit (–), soil fertility<br />

(+), area of l<strong>and</strong> owned (–), value of<br />

livestock owned (+), school<strong>in</strong>g (+), dependency<br />

ratio (+), share of female adults (–),<br />

livelihood strategy (livestock producers,<br />

coffee producers, <strong>and</strong> basic gra<strong>in</strong>s/livestock/<br />

farmworkers have lower productivity than<br />

basic gra<strong>in</strong>s producers), conservation tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

(+), agricultural tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g (–), conservation<br />

extension (–), membership <strong>in</strong> a producers’<br />

organization (+), participation <strong>in</strong> an NGO<br />

program (+), travel time to an urban market<br />

(–, 10 percent level), road density (+), plot<br />

size (+), plot position of top of hill compared<br />

to bottom (–), slop<strong>in</strong>g plot (–), <strong>and</strong> presence<br />

of o<strong>the</strong>r trees planted on <strong>the</strong> plot (+). Most<br />

of <strong>the</strong>se results are robust <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> IV model.<br />

The reduced form regression yields many<br />

results similar to those of <strong>the</strong> structural models.<br />

Factors <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g production of perennial<br />

crops, whe<strong>the</strong>r directly or <strong>in</strong>directly, <strong>in</strong>clude<br />

summer ra<strong>in</strong>fall (–, 10 percent level),<br />

soil fertility (+), l<strong>and</strong> owned (–), school<strong>in</strong>g<br />

(+, 10 percent level), livelihood strategy (coffee<br />

producers have lower production per<br />

manzana than basic gra<strong>in</strong>s producers), agricultural<br />

tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g (–), conservation extension<br />

(–), plot size (+), <strong>and</strong> slope (–).<br />

Many of <strong>the</strong>se f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs are as one would<br />

expect; for example, <strong>the</strong> positive effect of<br />

soil fertility, participation <strong>in</strong> some programs<br />

<strong>and</strong> organizations <strong>and</strong> market <strong>and</strong> road access<br />

on productivity. O<strong>the</strong>rs are puzzl<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

however; especially <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g of lower<br />

perennial crop productivity of coffee producers<br />

than those classified as basic gra<strong>in</strong>s<br />

producers. This f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g may not be robust<br />

due to <strong>the</strong> small number of perennial plots<br />

operated by basic gra<strong>in</strong>s producers <strong>in</strong> our<br />

sample (14 plots). However, even when<br />

<strong>the</strong>se observations are excluded from <strong>the</strong> regression,<br />

we still f<strong>in</strong>d that perennial crop<br />

productivity is significantly higher for <strong>the</strong><br />

basic gra<strong>in</strong>s/farmworker livelihood strategy<br />

<strong>and</strong> basic gra<strong>in</strong>s/livestock/farmworker livelihood<br />

strategy than for <strong>the</strong> coffee producer<br />

livelihood strategy. 57 Perhaps this results<br />

57<br />

There are at least 30 perennial plots operated by households pursu<strong>in</strong>g each of <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r livelihood strategies<br />

besides basic gra<strong>in</strong>s.

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